印度首次承认废钞令损害经济，导致GDP增速放慢

Note ban shaved 0.25-0.5% off GDP growth: Survey

调查显示：废钞令导致印度GDP增速减少0.25-0.5%

NEW DELHI: The Economic Survey admitted that demonetisation + has had the effect of creating uncertainty and pushed for an "early elimination of withdrawal limits" to help build confidence.

"Unless people have confidence that money deposited in bank accounts is freely convertible into cash, and vice versa...they will hoard it," the Survey warned, adding that the poor would be worst hit in such a situation since the affluent would corner the limited currency available.

经济调查显示，废钞造成了经济不稳定，为了建立人们的信心，早早地废除了取款额度限制。

调查警告，除非人们相信存在银行的钱可以自由取出，也可以自由存入，否则人们会囤积钱的。

报告还警告，富人垄断了有限的资金，这种情况下穷人受影响最大。

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印度政府周二承认，去年采取颇受争议的“废钞令”已经对印度经济产生了“不利影响”

在发布新财年政府预算报告前一天，印度发布了本国《经济调查报告》，认为“废钞令”等措施确实减缓了印度的经济增速。去年11月8日，印度总理莫迪宣布废除大面额500及1000卢比纸币，这一原本旨在打击腐败、黑钱及非法现金窝藏行为的“妙计”却在现金短缺的背景下遭遇各方猛烈炮轰，“误伤”印度经济。

报告预测，截至今年3月的2016-2017财年，印度经济增速为7.1%，较上一财年的7.6%出现明显回落，2017财年则有望回升到7%-7.75%。由于报告预测所采用的经济数据主要取自“废钞令”实施前，有不少人担心印度经济的实际增长速度可能更低。

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印度时报读者的评论：

译文来源：三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/2017020101.html
外文地址：http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/economic-survey/demonetisation-created-uncertainty-economic-survey/articleshow/56902341.cms

Vinod Dawda
aligargh - 8 hours ago

Long term benefit often demand short term loss. Perhaps that explains why most politicians so far have never thought long term. Mr Modi courage and passion for nation building stands out very tall.

为了长远的利益，难免会有短期损失

也许这解释了大多数政客迄今为止从来没有从长远考虑出发的原因。

莫迪有勇气，对国家建设充满热情，这是显而易见的

Kumar M
Mumbai - 5 hours ago

Nothing has achieved from ban, it was mistake by MODI who does not have knowledge of economics

废钞令没有任何成果，这是莫迪的错，莫迪不懂得经济学知识

Gopal Banerjee

What a chaiwaala can understand on economy? Stupid bhakth cant see this

一个卖茶郎，哪里懂得经济学啊？

Suleel Shetty

No issues it will pick up.... note ban was the need of the hour

没问题，会恢复的

废钞令算得上是当前所需

Balachandran Nair V

It help to make the economy far more cleaner

其实废钞令还好，经济更健康了

CLEMENT ANTHONY

Note ban only lead to panic with the common man

废钞令无非是造成了老百姓的恐慌

Sesha Sai Prasad Palapparthy

This is expected and will be a temporary phase

这是意料之中的，目前的状况是临时的，很快会过去的

SKuG

And it will rebound with a big growth after e few months owing to increase in tax collection..

随着税收的增加，几个月后会强劲反弹的

Kk Singh
4 hours ago

Demonetisation fulfilled its task of providing cheap loan to big capitalists, financiers and convert black money into white!

废钞令帮助大资本家和金融家拿到低利息贷款，帮助他们把黑钱洗白