What will India look like at 100?

印度独立100年之日会是怎样一番景象？

NEW DELHI: India is celebrating its 72nd Independence Day today. Here are five projections for 2047 — a world 29 Independence Days from today.

新德里：今天，印度正庆祝自己第72个独立日。以下是对2047年的五个预测——从今天开始，世界还将迎来29个印度独立日。

People: 170 crore, approxmately, will be India's population, making it the most populous country in the world for two decades. Two states, Tamil Nadu and Kerala, would have shrinking population; six other states would have stablised.

人口：印度的人口将达到约17亿，使其成为20年来世界上人口最多的国家。两个邦，泰米尔纳德邦和喀拉拉邦的人口将会减少;另外6个邦可能会稳定。

Prosperity: $16,000 could be the per capita income, which is nearly 9 times the current value (in 2016 dollars). 's will be double and US' 5 times India's. India will be the third largest economy with over $28 trillion GDP.

景气度：人均收入可能达到1.6万美元，接近当前价值(以美元计算的2016年数值)的9倍。将是印度的两倍，美国将是印度的5倍。印度将成为第三大经济体，GDP超过28万亿美元。

Religion: 130 crore is the likely number of Hindus, size of entire population today. Muslims could be nearing 30 crore. Likely composition--Hindus 76%, Muslims 18%, Christians 2.2%, Others 2.7%.

宗教：印度教徒的数量可能达到13亿，相当于今天印度的总人口。msl人口可能接近3亿。各宗教可能的比例——印度教徒76%，msl18%，基督徒2.2%，其他2.7%。

Language: 62% is the likely share of English medium in elementary school education in India, up from 19% today. Share of English medium in elementary school enrolment rose sharply from 13% in 2012-13 to 19% in 2016-17.

语言：印度小学教育中英语普及率可能达62%，高于今天的19%。英语在小学入学中的比例从2012-13年的13%急剧上升到2016-17年的19%。

Demography: For every senior citizen (65+) there would be 6 Indians in the age group of 15-64 in 2047, that's considerably older demography than today's.

人口统计：到2047年，每个65岁以上的老年人对应6个处于15-64岁年龄段的印度人，这比今天的人口统计要老得多。

印度时报读者评论：

来源：三泰虎      http://www.santaihu.com/45842.html     译者：Joyceliu

外文链接：https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/what-will-india-look-like-at-100/articleshow/65409844.cms

Harsh

India at 100 ? If Sickulars win, it will be Gazwa-e-Hind

印度独立100年之日?如果世俗主义赢了，那将是很大的损失

Gururaj Narayan

Your estimate of Muslim population is wrong. They are already around 20 crores. Their growth rate itself increasing from census to censurs. Their number couldbe 50 crores by 2047.

你对msl人口的预计是错误的。他们现在已经突破2亿人口了。从上次人口普查到下次人口普查，他们的人口增长率本身也在不断上升。到2047年，这一数字可能达到5亿。

Rithu Sankar

Every Kerala Muslim family size is more than double the size of Hindu families come and see the truth Hindu population is shrinking but Muslim have more kids even today % of school going kids Muslim are 42-43% there is no policy for family planning

喀拉拉邦每一个msl家庭的规模都是印度家庭的两倍多，我们能看到印度人口正在减少的事实，但msl有更多的孩子，即使在今天，适龄儿童中有42% -43%是msl，他们没有计划生育政策

Edgewater Global Services

We need to control population.border of Bangladesh and Nepal need to be close.

我们需要控制人口。需要关闭孟加拉国和尼泊尔的边界。

Azaad

30 crore Muslims????
Sure they will demand Muslim law Sharia e etc and sooner or later they will ask Islamic country

3亿msl人口? ? ? ?

当然，他们会要求msl法律，msl教法等等，迟早他们会要求成立ysl国家

Swapnil

Rapidly increasing Population of Radical Muslims due to 1) Producing maxmum number of Children 2) Love Jihad 3) Getting Illegal Muslim Migrants into India like Rohingyas, Bangladeshis is Dangerous. No one should forget 1300 Years of Muslim Invaders rule where Hindus were killed, raped, converted into Islam, Temples destroyed.

激进的msl人口迅速增长，原因是1)他们竭尽所能生孩子2)热爱圣战3)让非法msl移民进入印度，比如孟加拉的罗辛亚族人就很危险。没有人会忘记1300年msl侵略者的统治时期，那时候印度教徒被杀害、强奸、被迫皈依ysl教，寺庙被大量摧毁。

satwinder singh

politicians will be more corrupt if that''s possible

如果可能的话，政客们会更加腐败

ONE LINER Challenge

AT 100 , MODI WOULD HAVE LEFT INDIA ON PATH TO GLORY- IF WE LEARN TO BE RESPONSIBLE WE WILL EARN THE RIGHT FOR A BETTER LIFE-

印度独立100年之时，莫迪就会离开印度，踏上光荣之路——如果我们学会负责任，我们就会获得过上更好生活的权利

Aryan

Indian economy ahead of and USA. India a Superpower. Conditions apply. Thangbandhan should be out of power.

印度经济领先和美国。印度成为一个超级大国。附带条件是Thangbandhan应该下台。

Baldevbhai

Why are you holding the fact that by 2047 Muslim population will be 80 crores in India?

为什么你认为到2047年印度的msl人口将达到8亿?

Anuj Ahluwalia

Dollar will be 150. Population will be 150 crore

美元对卢比的汇率将达到150。人口将达到15亿

Muk

India will not survive as one country because of 2 problems, 1) Over population, 2) Rising number of muslims.

印度作为一个国家将无法生存，因为两个问题:1)人口过剩;2)msl人数不断增加。

Santosh

and reservations would be 99%

预留制将达到99%

No Reply

Elected PM will be a cow by then

到那天，牛将当选总理

Anand Gupta

Think bigger. By 2047, the Indian diaspora will be the largest ever on the earth, comparably 1/4 population of today will be representing around the globe. Powering Indian interest and $ workflow for their great nation. Bringing around 1$ Trillion as remittances and building wonderful society of this planet.
要敢想一点。到2047年，海外印度人将成为世界上最大的移民群体，差不多是现在人口的四分之一，在世界各地生活。为他们伟大的国家提供强大的印度收益和工作收入。带来大约1万亿美元的汇款，建设这个星球上非常美好的社会。

Every citizen of India, will be the luckiest, as we will be the force of good. Jai Hind

每一个印度公民，都将是最幸运的，因为我们将是善良的力量。印度必胜

Atilla Hun

Please give us pot hole free roads first we will talk about 100 years later

请先给我们一条平整的道路，再来谈谈100年后的事情

Tigrdalit

If BJP like hatemongerss stay PEOPLE of all religion will be fighting each other in small factions and there will be a CIVIL WAR EVRYWHERE and there will be 50 different states calling themselves india

如果印度人民党像仇恨公敌一样，所有宗教的人都将在小派系间互相争斗，那将会导致内战爆发，届时将有50个不同的邦自称为印度

Novus Ordo

Control population .... only the. development will happen .. strict 2 child policy

控制人口....只有这样，印度才会发展，严格执行二孩政策

Naresh Y

Good guesses.. but its worthless report..

很好的预测. .但不值得报道. .

Muk

No country can survive with such a huge population. India will most probably disintegrate. unless army takes control and like implement 1 child policy. Army can force Muslims and christians to follow 1 child policy.

没有哪个国家能在人口如此庞大的情况下生存。印度很可能会解体。除非军队控制，像一样实行一胎政策。军队可以强迫msl和基督教徒遵守一胎政策。

Pawan

Guys Control Double P if you want better india in future !!!! First P is pollution start using bicycle for short distance ride or try walking ...Second P is Population Please Please which ever religion y''all belong to one child is enough whether Girl or Boy Child...You should be aware that nature has limited resources to cater human needs there is limited drinking water, Limited Land , Limited forest reserves and everything is limited ...Please whoever is reading my post make a pledge today to control this double ''P'' if you want healthy and prosperous India...All the best

如果你想在未来拥有更好的印度，伙计们请控制双P !!!!第一个P是污染，短距离出行请开始使用自行车骑或步行…第二个P是人口，不论你信仰哪个宗教，无论男孩还是女孩，一个孩子就够了……你应该意识到，为了满足人类需求，自然资源有限，饮用水有限，土地有限，森林资源有限，一切都是有限的……如果你想要一个健康繁荣的印度，请阅读我这篇文章的人今天发誓，从这两个“P”开始。愿一切都好！

Mahender Goriganti

Wake up Hindustani, don''t fall for these fake statistics and outright lies by Jihadi as prestitutes. The only issue (Jihadi war is already on going on Hindustan from all corners. Forget about rest of issues, if U like have a place place your children the only (best political) option is BJP irrespective any grudges one may have with them about other issues.

醒醒吧印度斯坦人，不要相信这些虚假的统计数字和圣战分子赤裸裸的谎言。唯一的问题是(圣战战争已经从各个方面开始在印度渗透。忘掉其他的事情，如果你想给你的孩子一个地方，唯一的(政治方面最好的)选择就是人民党，不管你对他们在其他问题上有什么积怨。

Delicious

India will look like Pakistan in 2047,as Pisslamic population will become majority.India will replace pakistan as world no. 1 Terrorists producer and exportet country.Hindus would be dead or taken shelter at south east asia.Hindu girls would become sex slave and will be sold at market.India will return to sharia state.US forces would be bombing India to kill terrorists

2047年印度会像巴基斯坦一样，因为那些贫穷的人口将会成为多数。印度将取代巴基斯坦成为世界第一号恐怖分子生产国和出口国。印度教徒要么死亡，要么去东南亚避难。印度教女孩将成为性奴隶并在市场上被出售。印度将回归ysl教法。美军将轰炸印度、屠杀恐怖分子

Susu

India will be brothel capital of the world..

印度将成为世界的妓院之都。

Rickywalia Singh

170 crore
How this huge population will be feeded ???
Naturally by imports
And result you know well.
Govt should take some concrete step to make a stop on this huge increase in population.

17亿

我们要如何养活这个庞大的人口???

自然要通过进口

可结果你很清楚。

政府应该采取一些具体的措施来阻止人口的急剧增长。

Nindak

People who have not born yet will be show runners while all of us will be spending our final days.

那些还没出生的人将会成为制作人，而我们所有人都将度过最后的时光。

Rahul

A country though not divided geographically but divided on all other aspects of life.

一个国家，虽然地理上没有分裂，但在生活的各个方面都四分五裂。

Lalit

Population ratio between Hindus and Muslims shall be different..It shall be 60:40 ratio..Generally Hindus have adopted one child policy ( self policy) however Muslims follow religion 4 marriages, no birth control etc.

印度教徒和msl的人口比例应有所不同。应该是60:40的比例。一般来说，印度教徒实行的是独生子女政策(自我约束)，而msl教徒则遵从宗教教义——可以娶四个老婆、不进行计划生育等等。