安永：为了实现5万亿美元经济体目标，印度应保持9%的增速

India needs to grow at 9 pc to achieve PM's target of $5 trillion economy: EY

安永：为了实现5万亿美元经济体目标，印度应保持9%的增速

NEW DELHI: The country will need to grow by 9 per cent every year for five years continuously and raise aggregate investment rate to 38 per cent of GDP to achieve Prime Minister Narendra Modi's target of turning India into a $ 5 trillion economy, EY has said.

新德里：安永表示，要实现印度总理纳伦德拉•莫迪提出的5万亿美元经济体的目标，印度需要连续5年以9%的速度增长，并将总投资率提高至GDP的38%。

In its latest edition of Economy Watch, EY said assuming India grows by projected 7 per cent in the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2020, the size of the economy will grow to $ 3 trillion from $ 2.7 trillion in the previous year.

安永在其最新一期《经济观察》中表示，假设印度经济在截至2020年3月31日的当前财年增长7%，印度经济规模将从上一财年的2.7万亿美元增至3万亿美元。

It will have to grow by 9 per cent in each of the five subsequent years to take the size of the economy to $ 3.3 trillion in FY21, $ 3.6 trillion in FY22, $ 4.1 trillion in FY23, $ 4.5 trillion in FY24 and $ 5 trillion in FY25.

在接下来的5年里，印度经济必须保持9%的增速，才能在2021财年达到3.3万亿美元，在2022财年达到3.6万亿美元，在2023财年达到4.1万亿美元，在2024财年达到4.5万亿美元，在2025财年达到5万亿美元。

"Assuming an inflation rate of 4 per cent which is the target inflation rate as per the Monetary Policy Framework, a real growth rate close to 9 per cent would be required to increase the size of the Indian economy to $ 5 trillion by FY25. This implies a nominal growth rate of 13 per cent, assuming an average annual depreciation of the rupee viz-a-vis the US$ at 2 per cent," it said.

安永表示：“假设通胀率为4%，这是货币政策框架下的目标通胀率，那么印度经济规模要在2025财年增长至5万亿美元，就应保持近9%的实际增长率。这意味着名义增长率为13%，假设卢比兑美元平均每年贬值2%。”

印度时报读者的评论：

译文来源：三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/48181.html 译者：Jessica.Wu

外文：https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com

Kamal Gaur•5 hours ago •Follow

Dreams are for free, I want to become Billionaire, but, if, I have no capital

做梦又不要成本，我还想成为亿万富翁呢，但我没有本钱。

Dan Shaw•Unknown•6 hours ago

This article is for stupid. We all know thru simple math how much the economy needs to grow to hit 5 trillion. It is an ambitious goal and not a promise. If you are educated and sophisticated then you may have worked in world class corporations you would know that they set ambitious goals. Nothing wrong with that it is something to aspire to and not a promise.

这篇文章是给傻瓜看的。通过简单计算，我们都知道经济需要保持多少增速才能达到5万亿美元。这是一个雄心勃勃的目标，而不是一个承诺。如果你受过良好的教育而且经验丰富，那么你可能在世界一流的公司工作过，你就应该了解这是一个雄心勃勃的目标。这并没有错，这是一种追求，而不是一个承诺。

Natarajan D•6 hours ago

Bjp govt will do wonders with Nirmala as FM. GDP will be higher than 13%. Good days are here.

印度人民党政府任命西塔拉曼·尼尔马拉担任财政部长，她将创造奇迹。印度GDP增速将超过13%，好日子要来了。

Ramana•6 hours ago

The last but one point in my previous post needs to be amended as:,If the inflation rate is 2% per annum,reaching the desired target would be delayed.

如果通货膨胀率为2%，预期目标将会延迟达成。

Ramana•6 hours ago

If the analysis is to go by, perhaps it calls for a restructuring of our strategies to achieve the intended goals

也许需要调整我们的战略，才能实现预期目标。

Mahendrakumar•7 hours ago

Every where there is hype on $ 5 trillion economy and there is hype on recession and lower GDP.

到处都是关于5万亿美元经济的炒作，但也有关于经济衰退和GDP下降的炒作。

Zabar Dust•jaipur•7 hours ago

India is not even growing at 6% - stuck at 5.8% and falling.

印度经济增速甚至连6%都没达到——停留在5.8%，而且还在下降。

Vande Matram•Earth•10 hours ago

Forget 9, Modiji will deliver 10% growth, even 12%. a memo has already been sent to start fixng the data. The economists of the world will be shocked when they see Modiji''s accomplishments.

别说9%了，莫迪将带来10%的增长，甚至12%。看到莫迪的成就，全世界的经济学家都会为之震惊。

typsygypsy gypsytypsy•Gods Green Earth•12 hours ago

EASY ... Elementary my dear Watson ... just continue with FUDGING the figures !!!

好办，继续捏造数据就行了!

Megainfrastructure•Unknown•12 hours ago

Build automation in politics and governance for better efficiencies!!

先提高政府办事效率吧!!

Megainfrastructure•Unknown•13 hours ago

Build more smaller cities!

多建小型城市!

Megainfrastructure•Unknown•13 hours ago

Build! Build! Build!!!

建设！建设！建设！

Madan Mohan Siddhanthi•Mumbai•14 hours ago

You need har working and right attitude people which we do not have .Next 30 % nearly are digging grave for India

我们应当端正态度，努力工作，但我们没有。我们几乎是在自掘坟墓。

Scaria Varghese•15 hours ago

Under Dr. Manmohan Singh’s administration Indian economy consistently grow 9 percent and hit 10 percent because he is an economic wizard. Mani Sankar Iyer’s sobriquet of Modi as Chaya wallah is apt, Chaya wallah Modi destroyed the fastest growing Indian economy that is sluggish and on snail pace growth trajectory and it is due to Modi’s foolhardy Demonetisation policy. There is a saying: you get what you have payed for, likewise, ignoramus Indians voted Modi back to power, Indians you deserve wh ... Read More

在曼莫汉·辛格博士的领导下，印度经济保持9%的增速，甚至达到10%。他是一个经济奇才。莫迪破坏了原本增长最快的印度经济。现在印度经济增长缓慢，这是莫迪鲁莽的废钞政策造成的。无知的印度人投票让莫迪继续当总理，印度人，你们这是活该。

Red•16 hours ago

pray how and why.,why the haste. means more important than objective of 5 tr$. Is the govt planning to sell the soul of India to achieve this in a hurry?

为什么要这么着急？怎么实现5万亿美元经济体这个目标？印度政府是否打算为了实现这一目标而出卖印度的灵魂?

JAP•Unknown•16 hours ago

And idiots voted the jumla Raj ruling India now.

笨蛋们投票给了吹牛大王莫迪，让他来统治印度。

Vicky Shah•18 hours ago

It is impossible to acheive that target..government is not showing any interest and urge to revive the bad economic slowdown

不可能实现这个目标。政府没有表现出重振萧条经济的兴趣和强烈欲望

Sumeet•18 hours ago

Indian targets are never met especially of govt...

印度的目标从来没有实现过，特别是政府设定的目标。

Souvik Ghosh•20 hours ago

there is no chance of these dreams getting true even at 2026