Will India really become a superpower in 2030

印度真的能在2030年成为超级大国吗？

以下是Quora读者的评论：

Anchal Tamrakar, B.E from Shri Shankaracharya College of Engineering and Technology (2022)

Honestly No :-

(from patriotic view hell yesshh)

We have deal with Major problem which take a century to solve like below

Social Problems. Socila Problems: Conceptual understanding. ...

Over population

Low standard of living

Illiteracy, Poverty, Unemployment and Population Growth. ...

Child Abuse, Child Labour and Violence against Women. ...

Casteism, Communalism, Regionalism and Language Conflicts. ...

Crime, Criminal, Criminology and Juvenile Delinquency. ...

Alcoholism, Drug Abuse and Corruption.

Separate Religious conflicts (23.9%)

Government accountability and transparency / corruption (22.7%)

Food and water security (18.2%)

Lack of education (15.9%)

Safety / security / wellbeing (14.1%)

Lack of economic opportunity and employment (12.1%)

Above problem will not solve over night it takes time..

(从爱国主义的观点来看)

我们要解决的主要问题，需要一个世纪才能解决

社会问题。社会问题：概念理解。

人口过多

生活水平低

文盲、贫困、失业和人口增长……

虐待儿童、童工和对妇女的暴力行为……

种姓主义、地方主义、地方主义和口水仗……

犯罪、罪犯、犯罪学与青少年犯罪。

酗酒、吸毒和腐败。

宗教冲突(23.9%)

政府问责与透明度/贪污(22.7%)

食物及食水安全(18.2%)

缺乏教育(15.9%)

安全/保障/福祉(14.1%)

缺乏经济机会和就业机会(12.1%)

上述问题是无法一蹴而就的，需要时间。

Harish Srinivas, former Sr Developer, Project Manager

India can become a super power by 2030, it has the potential. But it won't, as the present trends indicate. There is no political will. A large number of Indians don't want India to become a super power. They don't have pride. It is enough for them if they personally progress. Probably no country is as divided as India is. Perhaps there in lies India's strength and stability. In being average, in not striving for any kind of superiority or excellence. Being subjugated for more than a thousand years has made India not capable of asserting itself as a power.

印度有潜力在2030年成为超级大国。但如目前的趋势，做不到。印度没有政治意愿。很多印度人不希望印度成为超级大国。他们没有自豪感。只要他们自己进步了，就足够了。可能没有哪个国家像印度这样分裂。也许印度的力量和稳定就在于此。不追求任何优越或卓越。印度被征服了一千多年，已经没有能力维护自己的大国地位。

Anonymous

Can India stop caste reservation system?

Can India kill all rapists and terrorist at a time?

Can India population be controlled ?

Can India start semiconductor manufacturing?

Can India stop religion issue hindu-Muslims?

Did Indians will follow traffic law and be civilized?

Can india have higher employment rate ?

Can India provide strict law for rapists ?

There are lots of issues need to be solved without solving we can't become super power .

It takes least take 2 century to become super power.

印度能废除种姓预留制度吗?

印度能一次消灭所有的强奸犯和恐怖分子吗?

印度的人口可以控制吗?

印度能开始半导体制造吗?

印度能终结印度教和msl的宗教问题吗?

印度人会遵守交通法规，文明起来吗?

印度能提高就业率吗?

印度能针对强奸犯执行严格的法律吗?

有很多问题需要解决，若解决不了，我们就不可能成为超级大国。

印度至少要等上2个世纪才能成为超级大国。

Tyagi Ram, B.sc from Ccsu Meerut

The politics and the form of de ocracy evolved in india actually not show any tendency to make it by 2030 but they are interested in political gains by hook or crook.

1 isro is going to be the cause if india becomes superpower because it is the field along with missile technology where we are having remarkable position. NaVIc ,mangal yaan etc are some of the cheapest ever space missions.

2 india will need to expand defence budget which might have adverse impact on other sectors.

3 is going through slowdown and trade war with u.s. india may exploit the opportunity by providing alternatives to u.s.

infrastructure , north east inclusive development, women empowerment on ground terms,spending chunks on health .

After going through these sort of challenges one may seek that superpower tag . Which actually not looks on real term as far as 2030 is concerned.

印度的政治和民*形式并没有显示出在2030年前能够实现这一目标的趋势，但他们对不择手段地获取政治利益很感兴趣。

如果印度成为超级大国，印度空间研究组织肯定是原因之一，因为它是一个和导弹技术一起的领域，我们在这一领域有着显著的地位。NaVIc、mangal yaan等都是有史以来造价最低廉的太空任务。

印度需要扩大国防预算，这可能会对其他部门产生不利影响。

正在经历经济放缓和与美国的贸易战。

基础设施、东北地区包容性发展、基本的妇女赋权、大量的卫生支出。

在战胜这些挑战之后，人们才有可能寻找超级大国的标签。2030年是不现实的。

Madhav Sastry, Mechanical Cars and Automobiles & Manufacturing, AMIE (1977)

It is not in the nature of Indis to project military power and to aim for hegemony . So it will never become super power.

印度并不以展现军事力量、夺取霸权为目的。所以它永远不会成为超级大国。

Manjunath Yalwar

Yes why not. There are areas where we need to improve

1) Unbiased law & order 2 ) Excellent Infrastructure which is eco sensitive as well. 3) Scrap the present history books & bring in the New ones which tells about our great epic warriors & also to tell the future generation why we lost against a third class mogul army & British. Let's teach them the power of unity which we lacked at that time. 4) Preserve our forests & rivers pristine. 5) Make India manufacturing hub of the world there by creating employment opportunities. 6) Remove article 370 from Kashmir bring uniform civil code . 7) let's build our military might second to none. 8) Encourage students to develop scientific temperament. 9) let's learn from Israel & implement their techniques for agriculture & water conservation. 10) Let's encourage our children to take sports & fitness seriously right from their childhood. Aim for 100 medals tally at Olympics.

是的，为什么不能呢。有些地方我们需要改进：

1)公正的法律和秩序2)良好的基础设施3)废弃现在的历史书，引进新的历史书，讲述我们伟大的战士，并让未来的一代了解我们为何输给了三等大亨的军队和英国人。让我们教会他们团结的力量，这是我们当时所缺乏的。4)保护我们的森林和河流的原始状态。5)通过创造就业机会，使印度成为世界制造业中心。6)在克什米尔移除370条，引入统一的民法典。7)让我们把军事力量建设成为首屈一指的力量。8)鼓励学生培养科学气质。9)让我们向以色列学习并实施他们的农业和水资源保护技术。10)鼓励孩子们从小就认真对待运动和健身。力争在奥运会上获得100枚奖牌。

Keshev Jaiswal

No ,and a big NO.

There are only one superpower before world war 1 that is UK its Sun never sets but sadly it sets down.

Then came USA and till date it retains this title.

Superpower is a amalgamation of Hard and Soft power it includes Political, Economic and Military .

India is nowhere.

So for 2030 No,however India will certainly become king maker like Germany, France,UK ,Canada and Japan .

A status of Great not Super.

For simplicity if turned to be UK ,India become France .Not more than that.

And donnot take economy as measurement because both India and take long time to be like G-7 Economy.

不，大写的不可能。

在第一次世界大战之前，世界上只有一个超级大国，那就是英国。

然后美国暂露头角，直到今天它仍然保持着这个头衔。

超级大国是硬实力和软实力的融合，包括政治、经济和军事等领域。

印度在任何领域都是无名小卒。

所以，到2030年，印度绝无可能成为超级大国，虽然印度肯定会像德国、法国、英国、加拿大和日本一样成为王者。

一个伟大但并非超级大国的国家。

简单来说，如果变成英国，印度就变成法国，仅此而已。

不要以经济作为衡量标准，因为印度和都需要很长时间才能成为G7经济体。

T.A. Aadithya, lives in Rome, Italy

Probable, but also unlikely. Its economy will be 5 times as large as it is right now at 2030 and would be politically,economically and military wise extremely powerful although still easily rivaled by , Russia and the USA. People would be economically well off and hopefully poverty and Misogyny will be minimised and backed by strong laws to implement.

It's hard to say because the world changes a lot in 10 years and India changes even faster,so it's hard to make a convincing picture. If you compare India of 2004 with India of today, you can actually see huge changes but India of 2030 will be so different from the India that you are seeing now.

有可能，但也不太可能。到2030年，印度的经济规模将是现在的5倍，在政治、经济和军事方面将非常强大，尽管仍很容易被、俄罗斯和美国力压。人们将在经济上富裕起来，希望贫困和厌女症将降至最低水平，并得到强有力的法律实施支持。

这很难说，因为世界在10年内发生了很大的变化，而印度的变化甚至更快。如果你把2004年的印度和今天的印度相比，你会看到巨大的变化，但是2030年的印度和你现在看到的印度将会是天差地别。

Raghav Lall, works at Studying

For Sure! Numbers say it all.

India’s present GDP of $2.4 Trillion is growing at a rate of 7% annually. By 2018 this rate is expected to cross 8%, Thanks to GST! by 2022 it’ll cross 10% ! do the math.

GDP as of 2017- $2.4 Trillion (bigger than France)

GDP as of 2020 - $3.1 Trillion (bigger than UK)

GDP as of 2024 - $ 4.8 Trillion (bigger than Germany)

GDP as of 2027- $ 6.3 Trillion ( Bigger than Japan)

GDP as of 2030- $7.2 Trillion ( 3rd largest in the world, behind USA and )

肯定会的！数字说明了一切。

印度目前2.4万亿美元的GDP正以每年7%的速度增长。到2018年，由于商品服务税，这一比率有望突破8% !到2022年，这个数字将突破10% !计算一下就知道了。

2017年国内生产总值- 2.4万亿美元(超过法国)

2020年国内生产总值- 3.1万亿美元(超过英国)

2024年国内生产总值- 4.8万亿美元(超过德国)

2027年国内生产总值- 6.3万亿美元(超过日本)

2030年国内生产总值- 7.2万亿美元(世界第三，仅次于美国和)

译文来源：三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/49113.html  译者：Joyceliu

Anonymous

I don’t know if I’m the person who could answer this question. In my opinion, India won’t become a superpower by 2030. India has the potential to become a super power but due to many flaws in the country base like poverty,unemployment, etc. The major thing in India is Corruption. This major evil cannot led the country grow. Everything in India is corrupted. Even, the Education system too.And corruption cannot be stopped because of corruption !! 

我不知道我够不够格回答这个问题。在我看来，印度到2030年也成不了超级大国。印度有潜力成为超级大国，但由于国家基础存在许多缺陷，如贫困、失业等。印度的主要问题是腐败。这个大恶魔没有能力领导国家发展。印度的一切都腐败透了。就连教育系统也是如此。而且就因为腐败的存在，想要终结腐败都无法实现!!

Rajnish Sinha

Yes and no. By 2030, India will be on the way … it will take her more time to be an educational, cultural, spiritual, scientific, economic and military superpower. Once there, u got to keep working on remaining one too …

这种可能性一半一半吧。到2030年，印度将走在这条发展之路上，她需要更多的时间成为一个教育、文化、精神、科学、经济和军事超级大国。即便实现了，也需要继续努力保持…

Jash Diyora, former Programmer at Robocon-UVPCE (2016-2017)

Yes for sure ! If you start contributing in india’s progress instead of being silly on quora !

当然可以！只要你开始为印度的进步做贡献，而不是在Quora上装疯卖傻！

Quora User, Researched emerging Superpowers

Most likely No. 2030 is somewhat near future. 13 years from now is a short span of time in geopolitics. India requires atleast 30+ years from now to become a real ‘superpower’ by overcoming the Mighty Challenges that we are facing today. Maybe by 2030 India will be setup with basic things right by achieving 90% literacy rate, advancement in standard of living , hygiene, life expectancy etc. But India has still a long way to go in terms of Infrastructure setup, Manufacturing , state of art Technology, HealthCare, Foreign exports and has to Combat evils such as Corruption,Economic inequality(wealth gap), Unemployment(also underemployment), Social disharmony ,Brain drain and many more.

极有可能实现不了。2030年就在不远的将来。从现在算起只有13年，在地缘政治上只是很短的一段时间。印度需要至少30多年的时间来克服我们今天面临的巨大挑战，成为一个真正的“超级大国”。也许到2030年，印度将实现90%的识字率、生活水平的提高、卫生和预期寿命等基本的事情。但印度在基础设施、制造业、先进的技术、医疗、出口方面仍有很长一段路要走，需要打击腐败、经济不平等(贫富差距)、失业率(就业不足)、社会不和谐、人才流失和更多弊害。

Prabhakar Sarma Neog, lives in Indi

“superpower” sounds cartoonish, I’d prefer the term “developed” rather.

Why can’t it be? A P J Abdul Kalam inspired the dream of India becoming a leader of nations by 2020 in the minds of most of the Indians, especially the youths.

Indians let Gandhi down. This is their second chance to redeem it. I believe, they will not let Kalam down this time. They better be developed before 2030.

I am on the positive side of this hope.

“超级大国”听起来很卡通，我更喜欢“发达国家”这个词。

为什么不能呢?在大多数印度人，尤其是年轻人的心目中，P J阿卜杜勒·卡拉姆激发了印度到2020年成为国家领袖的梦想。

印度人让甘地失望了。这是他们的第二次机会。我相信，他们这次不会让卡拉姆失望。最好在2030年之前就成为发达国家。

我对这个希望持乐观态度。

Pushkar Parmar, lives in India

Not only India but no country can be a super power in 2030 because the super power game is old now. Under Trump the US is pulling itself out from the chair of global leader so that it can look into its internal affairs. The only candidate who can fill that place is .

Even if India had the chance to be a super power it would’ve been close to impossible with hostile neighbours like Pakistan and .

India is a regional power already and that itself can be considered an achievement in itself.

不仅是印度，任何国家在2030年也无法成为超级大国，因为超级大国的游戏已经过时了。在特朗普的领导下，美国将自己从全球领袖的宝座上拉下来，以便处理国内事务。唯一能填补这一空缺的候选国只有。

即使印度有机会成为超级大国，在巴基斯坦和这样的敌对邻国面前也几乎是不可能的。

印度已经是一个地区强国，这本身就可以被视为一项成就。