Indian economy can touch USD 10 trillion in next 15 yrs: HUL CMD Sanjiv Mehta

桑吉夫•梅塔：15年后，印度经济规模可达到10万亿美元

New Delhi: India has the potential to achieve a high GDP growth rate of around 10 per cent and be a USD 10 trillion economy in the next 12 to 15 years, HUL NSE -1.54 % CMD Sanjiv Mehta said on Monday.

新德里：印度联合利华董事长桑吉夫•梅塔表示，印度有潜力实现约10%的高GDP增长率，并在未来12至15年内成为10万亿美元经济体。

Terming the present situation as a "massive opportunity for the country", Mehta said impetus should be given on digitising sectors like manufacturing, agriculture and pharma.

梅塔将目前的形势称为“印度的巨大机遇”，他说应该推动制造业、农业和制药等领域的数字化。

"In the last three decades, we have achieved about 6 to 6.5 per cent on an average GDP growth rate and if we have to create a 10 million jobs every year, then we have to cross this chasm between 6 and 6.5 per cent and 8 to 10 per cent...

“在过去的30年里,我们实现了约6 - 6.5%的平均GDP增长率,如果我们每年必须创造1000万个就业岗位,那就必须跨越6-6.5%到8-10%之间的鸿沟……”

"...the potential of the country is there and that would, forget USD 5 trillion, in the next 12 to 15 years we could be on the cusp of becoming a USD 10 trillion economy," Mehta said while addressing a virtual event organised by the All India Management Association (AIMA).

梅塔在全印度管理协会(AIMA)组织的一场线上活动上表示：“…印度有潜力，忘掉5万亿美元吧，在未来12到15年内，我们的经济规模或达到10万亿美元”

To achieve this, the country must "dream big, think big and act big", he added.

他补充说，要实现这一目标，国家必须“有梦想，有想法，有行动”。

Speaking on "renewing the economy", Mehta said the country has to reach a virtuous cycle of growth.

在谈到“重振经济”时，梅塔表示，印度必须实现经济增长的良性循环。

"We have to reach a stage, where we get into a virtuous cycle of growth, where investments happen or really it starts with demand. The demand goes up, investment happens, livelihoods get created and then the virtuous cycle starts moving. So, we have to get to that stage," he emphasised.

他强调：“我们必须达到这样一个阶段，进入一个良性的增长周期，在这个阶段。需求上升，投资出现，生计得以创造，良性循环开始运行。所以，我们必须达到这个阶段。”

Talking about the COVID-19 situation in the country, he said a USD 3 trillion economy is like an Airbus A380 aircraft and it must not be allowed to go into a free fall.

在谈到新冠肺炎疫情时，他说，印度这个3万亿美元经济体就像一架空客A380飞机，不能让它自由落体。

On economic recovery, Mehta said the key issue is determining the appropriate level of interest rate to spur growth.

关于经济复苏方面，梅塔说，关键问题是确定适当的利率水平以刺激经济增长。

"Now we have come to a very critical juncture, where the question is how much the interest rate should be brought down to give impetus to the economy.

他说:“目前我们已经到了一个非常关键的时刻，问题是为了刺激经济，应该把利率降低多少。”

"Second is how aggressive the government should be with the fiscal deficit. There would be a glide path to bring it down in the future in a very disciplined, open and transparent manner so that it gives confidence to both the investors as well as rating agencies," he said.

“其次是政府应对财政赤字的力度。未来会有一个非常有规范、公开和透明的下滑路径，让投资者和评级机构都有信心。”他说。

Some industries, which are big employers, have been seriously impacted by the pandemic and the question is how to bail them out, Mehta said.

梅塔说:“一些雇员很多的行业受到疫情的严重影响，问题是如何使它们摆脱困境。

He further said the country has a fantastic opportunity to invest in health infrastructure.

他进一步表示，现在是在印度投资卫生基础设施的绝佳机会。

印度经济时报读者的评论：

译文来源：三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/p/50875.html    译者：Jessica.Wu

SHYAMLAL GAUD

People remain happy when they get regular income and all other needs are fulfilled. The present situation is just opposit to that and people are worried about their future. Why this situation has come? It's because of wrong policies of the Government. Now the situation is so bad that even if corrective measures are taken, it may take at least 2 to 3 years to attain normalocy. The present economic situation is very fragile as there is unrest all over the country, so economy may collapse if the situation is not handled properly by the Government.

当人们有稳定的收入，并且其他需求得到满足时，他们会觉得满足。但目前的情况正好相反，人们担心他们的未来。为什么会出现这种情况?

这是因为印度政府的政策不对。目前的情况如此糟糕，即使采取纠正措施，可能至少需要2到3年才能恢复正常。目前的经济形势非常严峻，全国动荡不安，如果政府不妥善处理，经济可能会崩溃。

E M

IN 30 YEARS AND IN 50 YEARS. BUT WHAT ABOUT 2020 2021 AND 2022.

那2020-2022这3年呢？

Shri

it's already 10 trillion by PPP in ð ®ð ³ which is real measure anyways. don't worry be happy

别担心，开心点，按购买力平价算，印度经济规模已经达到10万亿美元了。

Jagat Dave

what will happen after 10 years has more to do with what we do in next 3..4 years

10年后会发生什么与我们未来3,4年的行动有很大关系

JAGDISH SHAH

Not possible in present companies, corporates, and personal incomes taxes structures Also GST slabs should have more practical as should be 5%, 10% and luxurious items 20%. Otherwise this will be just dreams to 10 trillion US dollars economic of India by year 2036.

按照目前的公司税和个人所得税结构，这是不可能实现的。此外，消费税应该控制在5%，10%，奢侈品税20%。否则到2036年达到10万亿美元经济规模只是做梦。

Raj Verma

CORRECT. 5 Billion owned by Ambani and rest 5 Billion with Adani. Rest of India will still remain Poor.

其中5万亿美元是安巴尼的，另外5万亿美元是阿达尼的。其余印度人将依然贫穷。

Vk Singh

‘‘Tis reputed newspaper is permitted this type false comment . It’s totally useless as like Modi government.

知名报纸发布这种评论，太荒唐了，和莫迪政府一样一无是处。

COSMIC ASTRO

The enterprenuers voice is - how they can get capital at low cost? But they can not think how they can pass all benefits given to them to the customers. The money is being accumulated to a few hands, and the benefits of govt policies are mostly enjoyed by the advanced class of societies. The purchasing power of the 90% people are decreasing year to year.

企业的问题是——他们如何能获得低利率资金?他们不知道怎样才能把所有的好处都传递给顾客。资金积累在少数人手中，而政府政策的好处大部分被高级阶层所享受。90%人口的购买力逐年下降。

Market Ploy

India 10 trillion hogi thn 50 trillion ho jyegi n US 75 trillion

如果印度经济规模达到10万亿美元，将达到50万亿美元，美国75万亿美元

Ramesh Parekh

Don’t worry about “after 15years”. worry about next 2 years. So many people are going hungry every day, now.

别操心“15年后”了。先担心接下来的两年吧。现在每天都有很多人食不果腹。

Sharon Dsouza

please don't talk insane things to gain cheap publicity.

请不要为了博眼球而发表一些愚蠢的看法。

Prachi Gupta

optimism and effective policy implementation are an essential element for an economy to grow.

保持乐观，政策执行到位是实现经济增长的必要因素。

Chetan Ojha

with the Good foundation work current govt doing. and Atmanirbhar initiative. we will do it.

有现任政府打好基础，加上“印度自力更生”倡议，我们能实现这一目标的。

New Dawn

When you have illiterates'gang leading the country, illiterate PM, MA in history RBI governor, and sadhus from stone age, and go corona, corona go type of superstitious buffoons in the gang, all projections about gdp are joke...

一帮文盲领导国家，总理是文盲，央行行长是历史专业出身，等等，所有关于GDP的预测都是笑话…

Tracy Cove

of course with inflation today's GDP caculated after 15 years will be 15 Trillion

当然，加上通货膨胀，15年后计算出来的GDP将达到15万亿

Sanjay Chowdhury

He is not suitable for the chair.

他不配坐这个位置