Gautam Adani debunks GDP rhetoric, says India will be 2nd largest economy by 2050

高塔姆·阿达尼驳斥有关GDP的言论，称到2050年，印度将成为第二大经济体

New Delhi: Billionaire Gautam Adani has debunked the narrow fixation on GDP numbers, saying fundamentals are intact and India will be the second-largest economy by 2050 and has an edge over global peers in terms of business opportunities.

新德里：亿万富翁高塔姆•阿达尼驳斥了人们对印度GDP数据的狭隘看法，称印度经济基本面完好无损，到2050年印度将成为全球第二大经济体，在商业机会方面比全球同行更具优势。

Speaking at the JP Morgan India Summit - Future in Focus, the Adani Group chairman said the AatmaNirbhar Bharat programme will be a game-changer.

在摩根大通印度峰会-“聚焦未来”上，阿达尼集团董事长高塔姆•阿达尼说，“印度自力更生”项目将会改变游戏规则。

"I will state without any hesitation – that – in my view - over the next three decades, India is the world's greatest business opportunity," he said.

他说:“我敢说，在未来30年里，印度的商机是全球最大的。”

India's geostrategic position and massive market size give it an edge over its global peers amid the fundamental political realignment of nations taking shape, he said adding opportunities for India are likely to accelerate on the other side of the pandemic.

他说，印度的地缘战略地位和巨大的市场规模，使其在各国基本政治格局正在形成之际，相对于其他国家具有优势。在疫情结束后，印度的机遇可能还会增加。

"For the sake of the fans of the GDP metric, let's look at some statistics. The global GDP in 1990 was USD 38 trillion. Today, 30 years later, this number is USD 90 trillion. Projecting for another 30 years, in 2050 the global GDP is expected to be about USD 170 trillion with India becoming the second-largest economy in the world," he said.

他说：“我们来看一些统计数据，1990年全球GDP为38万亿美元。30年后的今天，这个数字是90万亿美元。预计再过30年，到2050年，全球GDP将达到170万亿美元，印度将成为世界第二大经济体。”

The Indian economy shrank by a record 23.9 per cent in the April-June quarter because of the COVID-19 pandemic and the lockdown that followed. The economy is projected to contract for the first time in four decades, in the full year to March 2021.

由于新冠疫情和随后的封锁，印度经济在今年4月至6月这一季度萎缩了创纪录的23.9%。预计到2021年3月，全年经济将出现40年来的首次收缩。

But Adani said short-term setbacks due to a global crisis cannot be used to write off the country as its fundamentals remain intact.

但阿达尼说，全球危机造成的短期挫折不会击垮印度经济，因为印度经济的基本面仍然完好无损。

"The current focus on standardised GDP predictions as against truly understanding what a nation could look like over a decade has unfortunately become one of the primary elements for measuring the health of an economy. In my view, patience and long-term planning and most importantly, an alignment with the government's business agenda are what creates the greatest value," he said.

他说：“不幸的是，目前人们关注的是标准化的GDP预测，而不去了解未来10年国家将如何发展，这已成为衡量一个经济体健康状况的主要因素之一。在我看来，耐心和长期规划才是创造最大价值的要素，而最重要的是，与政府的商业议程保持一致。”

Speaking of challenges holding back India, Adani said that India needs USD 1.5 to 2 trillion of capital over the next decade but despite key structural reforms such as the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund and Credit Enhancement Fund, capital structure challenges, and lack of empowered and independent regulators remain bottlenecks to nation-building and investment opportunities.

谈到阻碍印度发展的挑战，阿达尼表示,印度在未来十年需要1.5到2万亿美元的资本，尽管进行了关键的结构改革（如国家投资、基础设施基金和信贷增强基金），但资本结构面临的挑战，以及缺乏授权和独立的监管机构仍然是阻碍国家建设和投资机会的瓶颈。

The first generation entrepreneur, who built India's biggest infrastructure group with interests spanning from seaports to airports and energy, coaxed the audience to look at opportunities through his 'optimist' lenses.

作为印度第一代企业家，阿达尼建立了印度最大的基础设施集团，业务范围从海港、机场到能源等多个领域。他通过“乐观主义”的视角，吸引听众来看待机遇。

"As an entrepreneur, I am an optimist, and therefore the lenses through which I see opportunities may be different than some of yours." he said.

他说：“作为一名企业家，我是一个乐观主义者，因此我看待机遇的视角可能与你们中的一些人不同。”

He told the forum to stop viewing all nations through old Western growth metrics.

他说，不要再用旧的西方增长指标来衡量所有国家。

印度经济时报读者的评论：

译文来源：三泰虎 http://www.santaihu.com/p/50946.html    译者：Jessica.Wu

Punit Saraf

Adani was a thief and a criminal, thats how he started and grew his business on the ports. Real crook!

阿达尼是个小偷和罪犯，他就是靠偷和骗在港口发家的。他就是个骗子!

Praker

Thatâ s too long.. Who knows alive to prove

2050年太远了…要活到那时候才能证实他的预测

Ankit Jalan

Modi friends Ambani and Adani will be ruling the nation

未来，将由莫迪的朋友安巴尼和阿达尼统治这个国家

R Vaidyanadhan

Good by then (2050) most of us would not be alive. Perhaps Ambani and Adani ruling the nation.

到那时(2050年)，我们大多数人都不在这个世上了。也许统治这个国家的是安巴尼和阿达尼。

New Dawn

India lives in Bollywood movies. Everything sounds unrealistic and too big to acknowledge. India is not able to become a 3 trillion $ economy in past 75 years. How in the world India will become second largest economy in 3 decades.

印度生活在宝莱坞电影中。每件事听起来都不现实，牛皮吹得太大了。在过去75年，印度无法成为3万亿美元经济体，如何能在30年后成为世界第二大经济体？

Namaskarhotel

we wish Adani to live long and see him self his dream fulfill..all the best to big dreamers of India, rainder kumar budhraja.

希望阿达尼能长寿，能看到自己的预言成真。祝印度伟大的梦想家好运！

Sanjay Shrivastava

I wish Mr. Adani a very long life to see the truthfulness of his statement, a appreciate all leading newspapers to make this headline. But Why 2nd and why not number one?

希望阿达尼先生长命百岁，看到他的预测成真。但为什么是第二大经济体，不是第一大呢?

Yogendra Patel

If the current state of economic and political affairs continue then certainly it is going to be overstatement. To be second biggest economy , stability of economic policy is must . We see tinkering in economic policy every now and then making long term business decisions difficult. Politically too we are not united.

如果当前的经济和政治状况持续下去，那阿达尼说的肯定是言过其实了。要成为第二大经济体，稳定的经济政策是必须的。不时对经济政策进行修改，难以确定长期的商业政策。在政治上，我们也不团结。

SRIKUMAR GHOSE CHOUDHURY

may be he is going to be next fm

也许他会成为下一任财政部长

Nuraj Bakshi

You all will be dead by that time so why predict such stupid things. Infact there will be corona 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 advance version to take the world back 100 years!!

到那时，你们都已经死了，为什么要做这些愚蠢的预测。事实上，一波接一波的疫情将会导致世界倒退100年!!

Rajesh Narayanan

why 2050? that time you wont be alive is it

为什么是2050年?到那时候你自己都不在了

Nikhil Chengappa

Is he next Finance Minister or going to own all the businesses

下一任财政部长就是他了，以后所有企业都是他的

atul kulkarni

What is the road map for next 30 years. The fields in which India would emerge as an economic powerhouse.

印度未来30年的路线图是什么?这些领域将使印度成为经济强国。

Kamal Jain

Ambani and Adani can debunks GDP as rhetoric ! Both have benefit the K shape growth of India ! But ultimately if masses loose riches will also loose.

安巴尼和阿达尼可以把GDP说得天花乱坠!他们两个都为印度的K形增长做了贡献!但最终，如果大众受损，富人也会受损。

Ravindra Muthya

Who cares? What is important is jobs for people to lead an honourable life and access to education and health. Comparisons with other economies is irrelevant for hungry jobless youth.

谁在乎呢?重要的是，为人们提供就业机会，提供医疗保障，让大家有书读，过上体面的生活。对于饥饿的失业青年来说，与其他经济体的比较是无关紧要的。

Babu Raja

a big joke by a joker

一个小丑开的大玩笑

Rahul

He contributes much more to the Indian economy, than you can ever do !!

他对印度经济的贡献比你大得多!!

Abhishek Gupta

talk about present not 30 years down the line

what will happen after 30 years nobody knows.

要说就说目前的状态，不要说30年后，没人知道30年后会发生什么。

Subroto Kumar

Ambani Adani only will speak so India being 2nd economy shortly.They will benefit most under Modi in next 30 years. Bjp will rule for next 50 years for no reason. All the best..

安巴尼和阿达尼只会说印度很快将会成为第二大经济体。在莫迪的领导下，未来30年他们将是获益最多的。未来50年将由人民党统治。愿一切都好！