Counting wastage, India may need 66.6cr doses of vaccine

算上损耗，印度可能需要6.66亿剂新冠疫苗

BENGALURU: The Union health ministry has calculated the number of vaccines the government would need to purchase: 111 doses to inoculate every 50 beneficiaries. This means that to administer two doses of a vaccine to 30 crore people, the government would need to buy 66.6 crore, and not just 60 crore doses as originally planned.

班加罗尔：印度卫生部已计算出政府需要采购的新冠疫苗数量，每50人111剂，这意味着，要为3亿人提供两剂疫苗，政府需要购买6.66亿剂，而非最初计划的6亿剂。

Guidelines issued to all state governments show the formula used to estimate vaccine needs at various levels — block, state and district — is borrowed broadly from the Universal Immunisation Programme (UIP). However, while the wastage percentage differs for different vaccines under UIP, “allowable wastage” for the Covid-19 vaccine has been fixed at 10%. This is used to determine the wastage multiplication factor (WMF), which is used to determine the estimated number of doses that need to be purchased.

发给各邦政府的指导方针显示，用于估算各个层级的疫苗需求的公式主要借鉴普遍免疫规划(UIP)。然而，尽管在该计划下不同疫苗的损耗百分比有所不同，新冠疫苗的“允许损耗”规定在10%。这是用来确定损耗倍增系数(WMF)的，WMF是用来确定预计需要购买的剂量的。

The ministry and experts have arrived at a WMF of 1.1 for Covid-19 vaccines. Since each beneficiary needs two doses of the vaccine, here’s how the estimation for procurement is made: If the government, for instance, is procuring doses for 100 people, it first multiplies the number of people by two (given that two doses are needed). This number (200) is then multiplied by 1.1 — to account for wastage and arrive at the final number of doses required.

卫生部和专家已将新冠疫苗的WMF定为1.1。由于每位接种者需要两剂疫苗，以下是对采购量的估算：例如，如果政府为100人采购疫苗，它首先将人数乘以2(假定需要两剂疫苗)。然后将这个数字(200)乘以1.1 ，计入损耗并得出所需购买的最后剂量数。

In this case it would be 222. Giving an example for one-dose estimation, the ministry guidelines read: “...27,800 doses of Covid-19 vaccine are adequate for immunising 25,045 beneficiaries (WMF = 1.11)”.

在上述例子中，得出的结果是222剂。以一次剂量估计为例，卫生部的指导方针是:“2.78万剂新冠疫苗足以为25045人接种(WMF = 1.11)”。

While just 200 doses may eventually be enough for 100 people — if logistics, storage, management and administration (of vaccines) have an 100% efficiency rate — the said formula is employed to prevent a shortage of doses in case there is wastage due to any one of these reasons. The Union MoH&FW and the state governments are taking every possible measure to minimise wastage.

如果运输、储存、管理和注射(疫苗)的效率达到100%，那么200剂疫苗最足以为100人接种，按上述公式计算是为了防止损耗而造成剂量短缺。卫生部以及各邦政府正在采取一切可能的措施尽量减少损耗。

印度时报读者的评论：译者：Jessica.Wu

Abhishiek Ghosh

I am ready to take BJP vaccine. Seculars will not take vaccine ,thus only 66 crore is needed.

我准备好接种疫苗了。世俗主义者不会接种疫苗，因此只需要6.6亿剂。

Surinder Garg

Mark my words. India does not need more than 5 to 10 crore doses.

印度需要的疫苗不超过5千万到1亿剂。

som khanna

Person who wrote this article flunked in primary school math.

写这篇文章的人小学数学都不及格。

Divyesh Sampat

Agree, without medicine also the recovery rate is more than 95%.

即使没有用药，治愈率也在95%以上。

Iron Dome

Indian govt chest thum when there was no vaccine..... "We beat COVID" .... now when infection rate and death rate is lowest (around 0.9%) they are pushing for their unproven vaccines .... wow! fool someone else...

印度政府在没有疫苗的时候拍胸脯：“我们战胜了新冠肺炎”....

现在，当感染率和死亡率最低(约0.9%)时，他们却在大力推广未经证实是否有效的疫苗....骗人…

Sunnyman

Only 30 crore beneficiaries? Our population is 131 crore.

只给3亿人接种?

我们的人口有13.1亿啊。

Dilip J

Let us first give to those who are in hopsital and in critical condition and save their lives

先给那些住院的患者和重症患者接种，先救他们。

V K

Let foot the bill for the world

让为各国的疫苗买单吧

Dreet

Buy Moderna and Pfizer vaccine for the common man instead of wasting money for Bullet Train and Parliament Building White Elephant � projects

为老百姓购买Moderna和辉瑞疫苗吧，不要把钱用来修建高铁、议会大厦这样华而不实的项目

Guest Login

Imagine of we had 20 crore less people.. but gandhi nehru ruined this countrys future

如果我们的人口不到2亿就好了，尼赫鲁毁了这个国家的未来

kSingh

India dragging its feet on approving pfizer vaccine while approving an untested vaccine.5 million pfizer shots have been given with no major problems.

印度迟迟不批准辉瑞公司的疫苗，却批准了一种未经测试的疫苗。辉瑞疫苗注射了500万剂，均未出现大问题。

Revres Yxorp

What about the remaining 100 crore?

剩下的10亿人怎么办?

Kedar P

Countries like UK are going for lock down . And are not talking about vaccines . is there something wrong ??

英国正在实施封锁，没有讨论接种疫苗的事，不觉得有什么问题吗??

Mr Logical

66 cr doses for 130 Cr citizens ...I don't get it ....it seems they have only considered BJP bhakts

13亿人，只买6.66亿剂…我不明白，看来他们只算了印度人民党

John Gour

In India population is very high by this we need a lot more vaccine.

印度人口非常多，我们需要的疫苗远远不止这些啊。

op gupta

The manner in which the covaxn is approved by school proved only one thing that is "modi is a totally fraud personality", it also raises serious doubts over the functioning of fraud institutions like icmr and dcgi.

本土新冠疫苗covaxn获批只证明了一点，那就是“莫迪是个彻头彻尾的骗子”，

这也让人们对印度医学研究委员会和印度药品管理总局等机构的运作产生了严重怀疑。

Chetan

Modi Ji Promised Free Vaccine In Bihar,

let's see what Biharis Get after Election

选举的时候，莫迪承诺为比哈尔人免费接种疫苗，让我们看看选举过后，比哈尔人能得到什么