GDP may contract by 7.7% in FY21: NSO data

国家统计局的数据显示，2021财年印度GDP或萎缩7.7%

NEW DELHI: India’s economy is estimated to contract by a record 7.7% in 2020-21 ravaged by the impact of the Covid-19 induced lockdown, with the crucial services and manufacturing sectors taking a massive hit and the farm segment expected to remain the only bright spot.

新德里：受新冠疫情导致的封锁的影响，在2020-2021年期间印度经济预计将创纪录地萎缩7.7%，关键的服务业和制造业受到重创，农业部门预计仍将是唯一的亮点。

The first advance estimate released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on Thursday comes ahead of the Union budget on February 1, which is expected to unveil fresh measures to get growth back on track.

周四，印度国家统计局(NSO)公布了首份预估数据，2月1日政府将公布联邦预算，预计会公布新的措施，推动经济增长重回正轨。

The NSO data estimated the economy to contract by 7.7% compared to an 11-year low growth of 4.2% in 2019-20. This will be the first contraction in over four decades since the 5.2% fall recorded in 1979-80. This is also the record contraction since annual GDP data began to be published in 1951-52.

NSO的数据估计，印度经济将萎缩7.7%，而2019-2020财年的增长率为4.2%，为11年低点。这将是自1979-1980财年5.2%的跌幅以来，40多年来的首次萎缩。也是自1951-1952财年开始发布年度GDP数据以来的创纪录萎缩。

The Reserve Bank of India estimates GDP to contract by 7.5% while other agencies forecast in the range of 7.4% to 10.3% decline for the current financial year and rebound next year on the back of the low base and measures unleashed by the government and the central bank.

印度央行(Reserve Bank of India)估计，印度GDP将萎缩7.5%，而其他机构预计，本财年GDP将下降7.4%至10.3%，在低基数的基础上以及政府和央行出台措施的支撑下，明年将反弹。

The impact of one of the strictest lockdowns in the world has been evident on the economy with a record slump of 23.9% in the June quarter.

印度实施了全球最严格的封锁之一，对经济的影响是显而易见的，在6月当季，经济创下了23.9%的下滑记录。

印度时报读者的评论：译者：Jessica.Wu

Ponraj Abraham

The economy shrank even before Covid-19 but Covid-19 is the escape route for BJP Govt for its failure.

在疫情爆发之前，印度经济就萎缩了，新冠成了人民党推卸责任的借口

Owais Arsz

In the meanwhile is expected to grow 8.2% in 2021.

与此同时，预计2021年经济将增长8.2%。

sridhar

Illiterate chaiwala will not talk on this..

文盲卖茶人是不会谈论这个事情的

Vinod

What happened to bsdk's 5T economy promise?

承诺的5万亿美元经济体呢？

Deepak

To be frank, BJP is not fit for ruling a country! They should confine themselves to religious activities!

老实说，人民党不会管理国家!

他们只适合搞宗教活动!

Vinod

all bunch of cr00ks and idi0ts of bsdk jhumla party completely ruined country

人民党这群蠢货彻底毁了这个国家

Desi

Covid has given excellent excuse for government to blame it for poor GDP and high unemployment.

政府会将GDP下降和失业率高归咎于新冠疫情，这是个很好的借口。

Deepak

Why blaming covid ? Jan-march 2020 the economy was already down to 4.9% growth!. During this period there was no impact of covid!

为什么要归咎于疫情 ?

2020年1月至3月，经济增速已经降至4.9% !

当时并没有爆发疫情啊

Ponraj Abraham

When the economy contracts, consumers stop buying things, and people lose their jobs.

当经济萎缩时，消费者就会谨慎消费，人们就会失业。

Sudarshan Bhardwaj

Economy was already in ICU even before corona

在疫情爆发之前，印度经济就已经进ICU了

K Mohan Twincities

How can there be growth when the whole economy was stand still for nine months last year

去年经济停滞了9个月，怎么可能增长呢？

Desh Ke Aage Kuch Nahi

Modi hai toh mumkin hai. And now our Cloud RADAR technology expert will blame the pandemic for this. Although our financial conditions were pretty bad even before the pandemic started.

莫迪会将此归咎于疫情。我们的财政状况在疫情爆发之前就相当糟糕了啊。

Krishna

If not for the lockdown, we would have been dead and gone!

如果没实施封锁，我们早就没命了

Gaurav Barman

Compared to other economies, India has done much better. Investors have more trust and net FII inflows have increased whuch is taking Indian stock market to new highs each day

与其他经济体相比，印度经济的表现要好得多。投资者更加信任我们，外国投资增加，印度股市每天创新高

Rajesh Krishnan Kutty

by the way this GDP is as per modified calculation. it would be much more worse as per old calculation method

顺便说一下，这个GDP是按修改后的公式计算的。按照旧的算法，情况会糟糕得多

Jagdish Madan

Compared to the rest of the world India has done exceedingly better in tackling the Wuhan Virus pandemic as well as the adverse economic fallout of lock downs! Yet, some Indians will continue to abuse the government - out of sheer habit!

和其他国家相比，印度在应对疫情以及封锁带来的不利经济影响方面做得非常好!

然而，一些印度人继续抨击政府——纯粹是出于习惯!

Madhav Das

Where is the sense in blaming the Govt in the current economic sitiuation. Was the Corona Virus created by the Govt? Was the shutdown to save the lives of millions of our people done on a whim? Is the ongoing border conflict with a creation of the Govt? Is the farmers blockade of the national capital something caused by the Govt?

在当前的经济形势下，指责印度政府有什么意义呢?

新冠是印度政府搞出来的吗?

为了拯救数百万人民的生命而实施封锁，政府这么做是心血来潮吗?

正在持续的印中边界冲突是印度政府造成的吗?

印度农民去首都抗议是政府造成的吗?

VallabhDesai Desai

At least India has Ram Mandir which would be build by 2024. By that time, foreigners will come and visit that instead of Taj Mahal and Indians can conveniently beg there to get some dollars and cents for a change.

至少印度将在2024年建成罗摩神庙。到那时，外国人就会来参观罗摩神庙，而不去泰姬陵，印度人可以在庙门口乞讨。

Moti Ji

Manmohan Singh said that Modi will be disastrous for India. How true he was.

曼莫汉·辛格说，对印度而言，莫迪是灾难，他说得真对。