'Indian economy may contract 25 per cent in current fiscal'
印度经济在当前财年或萎缩25%
NEW DELHI: The Indian economy is not recovering as fast as the government claims and the country's economy may contract 25 per cent in the current financial year, noted economist Arun Kumar said on Sunday.
新德里:经济学家阿伦·库马尔周日表示,印度经济复苏的速度不会像政府所说的那么快,印度经济在本财年或萎缩25%。
Kumar further said that due to a big decline in the GDP during the current financial year, the budget estimates have gone completely out of gear and, therefore, there is a need to correct the Budget.
库马尔还说,由于本财年GDP大幅下降,预算估计已完全跟不上,因此有必要修正预算。
"India's economic growth is not recovering as fast as the government is showing because the unorganised sector has not started recovering and some major components of the services sector have not recovered.
“印度经济增长的复苏速度不像政府说的那么快,无组织行业尚未开始复苏,服务业很大部分也尚未复苏。”
"My analysis shows that the rate of growth will be (-)25 per cent in the current financial year because during lockdown (during April-May), only essential production was taking place and even in agriculture, there was no growth," he told PTI in an interview.
他在接受印度报业托拉斯采访时表示:“我的分析显示,本财政年度的增长率将达到(-)25%,因为在封锁期间(4月至5月期间),只有必要的生产在进行,甚至农业也没有增长。”
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has projected the Indian economy to contract 7.5 per cent in the current financial year, while the National Statistical Office (NSO) estimates a contraction of 7.7 per cent.
印度储备银行(RBI)预测,印度经济在本财政年度将萎缩7.5%,而国家统计局(NSO)估计将萎缩7.7%。
Also, according to the NSO, the Indian economy contracted by 23.9 per cent during the April-June 2020 quarter and recovered faster than expected in the July-September 2020 quarter as a pick-up in manufacturing helped GDP clock a lower contraction of 7.5 per cent.
此外,根据NSO的数据,印度经济在2020年4-6月季度收缩了23.9%,在2020年7-9月季度复苏速度快于预期,制造业的回升推动GDP收缩放缓至7.5%。
印度时报读者的评论:译者:Jessica.Wu
Harsh
This so-called economist is a former professor from JNU - Jihadi Nurturing University
这位所谓的经济学家以前是尼赫鲁大学的教授
Letsbereal
What else one should expext from Arun Kumar, A JNU professor? According to him, IMF, Goldman sachs, Moody, and RBI are fools and he is the only economist.
能指望尼赫鲁大学教授阿伦·库马尔说什么好话?
在他看来,国际货币基金组织、高盛、穆迪和印度央行都是傻瓜,他是唯一的经济学家。
?????? ????
Please don't speak truth, it will hurt saffron brigade
不要说真话,否则会伤害人民党的水军的
kiran Malhi
Truth hurts
真相伤人
Ulhas Kulkarni
SUCH announcements should be made with due caution. The news of contraction will please the punters no end and send the stock market SOARING.
公布这样的消息应当谨慎。经济萎缩的消息将使赌客们欣喜若狂,并推动股市飙升。
Guest Login
Already India is one of the poorest countries. Now economy is also contracting. Jobs are scarce. What should we do? Life is becoming miserable day by day here.
印度已经是最贫穷的国家之一。
现在经济在萎缩,工作机会极少。我们该怎么办?
生活一天比一天惨。
adesh kandhiya
Leftist economist. always against Good. India is doing best Mr. writer
左翼经济学家。总是唱反调,印度做得最好!
Jaali Note
Thanks god Modi is PM then it is just 25% - if Congress govt was in power it would have been 2500 % decline ( Andhbhakti Argument )
谢天谢地,是莫迪当总理,所以经济只萎缩25%。
如果是国大党执政,将会萎缩250%。
Patriot
this government and its brainless bakhts have screwed our country big time . It will take atleast a decade to remover from this loss and get momentum back on track .
本届印度政府把我们的国家搞得一团糟。至少需要10年的时间才能恢复,并使发展势头回到正轨。
Gumnami Baba
It is the Modi effect.
这就是莫迪效应。
Ravie Gupta
morons. contraction will be between 5-10% only.
白痴,萎缩幅度仅在5-10%之间。
sanujit roy
Will it decrease to 30%?
会萎缩30%吗?
MOHAMMAD IMRAN
Who cares?
谁在乎呢?
Vijayendra Kumar
India is the worst performing major economy thanks to Modinomics.
多亏了莫迪经济学,印度成了表现最差的主要经济体。
Allan Gracias
We can wait but no investments from . We will get there eventually
我们可以等,但不要投资。我们最终会恢复的
Satish Sharma
Govt must speak truth, people must speak truth but corrupt parties speaks lie
印度政府必须说真话,人民必须说真话,而腐 败的政党只会说谎
Ramnarayan Bedbak
during such a critical period economists should not give such passimistic. view
在这样一个关键时期,经济学家不应给出如此悲观的看法
Akhilesh Kumar
poor guy knows nothing and he is talking out of hatred only... talking nonsense
可怜的家伙,他什么都不懂,胡说八道,他这么说只是出于仇恨…
Ragu
who the f youbare you mean to say all the international organization survey and rbi is wrong?
他的意思是说国际组织和印度央行的预测都是错的?