Indian economy to contract at slower pace of 8% in FY21: IMF

国际货币基金组织：印度经济在本财年或萎缩8%

NEW DELHI: The Indian economy is estimated to post a narrower contraction of 8% in the current financial year but is projected to report double-digit expansion next year as well as in 2022-23, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday.

新德里：国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二表示，印度经济在本财年预计将萎缩8%，未来两年预计将出现两位数的增长。

IMF, which released its update to the World Economic Outlook report, projected the Indian economy to grow by 11.5% in 2021-22 and 6.8% in 2022-23 as the economy gathers momentum after arrival of the vaccine and pick-up in economic activity. For the next two years, India is projected to be the fastest growing major economy, displacing , which is estimated to grow by 8.1% and 5.6% in the next two years.

国际货币基金组织(IMF)发布了最新的《世界经济展望报告》，预计随着印度经济在接种疫苗后积聚动力并开始复苏，2021-2022财年印度经济将增长11.5%，2022-2023财年增长6.8%。未来两年，印度预计将取代，成为增长最快的主要经济体。在未来两年的增速预计分别为8.1%和5.6%。

The IMF update forecast a narrower contraction for the Indian economy in 2020-21from the previous estimate of a decline of 10.3%. is estimated to grow by 2.3% in the current fiscal year, the only major economy to post expansion. IMF’s estimate of contraction for 2020-21 is higher than the 7.7% decline estimated by the country’s statistics office and 7.5% fall projected by RBI.

国际货币基金组织的最新预测显示，印度经济在2020-2021年的萎缩幅度将比此前预计的10.3%更小。据估计，经济在本财年增长2.3%，是唯一一个实现增长的主要经济体。国际货币基金组织(IMF)对2020-2021年经济萎缩的估计，高于印度统计局(statistics office)预计的7.7%和印度央行(RBI)预计的7.5%。

The Indian economy was hit hard by the strictest lockdown in the world to stem spread of the Covid-19 pandemic. It is estimated to post the sharpest contraction since data began to be published in 1952.

为遏制新冠肺炎疫情蔓延，印度实施了全球最严格的封锁，给印度经济造成了沉重打击。据估计，这是自1952年开始公布数据以来印度经济的最大幅度萎缩。

Since lifting of the lockdown, the economy has posted a sharp recovery, propped up by pent-up and festival demand. After posting a record contraction of 23.9% in the June quarter, the economy scripted a recovery to post a narrower contraction in the September quarter. Various agencies estimate growth to return in the third and fourth quarters as several sectors of the economy touch pre-Covid levels.

自封锁解除以来，在被压抑的节日需求的推动下，印度经济出现了大幅复苏。在6月当季创下23.9%的萎缩纪录后，印度经济在9月当季出现了复苏，萎缩幅度有所收窄。各机构估计，随着一些经济部门触及新冠肺炎前的水平，经济将在第三和第四季度恢复增长。

IMF said although recent vaccine approvals have raised hopes of a turnaround in the pandemic later this year, renewed waves and new variants of the virus pose concerns for the outlook.

国际货币基金组织表示，尽管最近批准的疫苗让人们对今年晚些时候疫情好转抱有希望，但新一波疫情和病毒新变种也加大了人们对前景的担忧。

印度时报读者的评论：译者：Jessica.Wu

haren

BJP PR AGENCY & IT CELL CNFUSIO CREATORS ARE SKILLED MASTERS TO CREATE THOUSANDS OF SUCH HALF TRUTH HALF FALSE FAULTY REPORTS FOR APPRAISAL OF Mr Fekuchand Fakirmal Chaiwala of Badnagar. FAKE LIKE FEKU WAS CHAIWALA

印度人民党的公关机构捏造了数千份这种半真半假的报告。莫迪就是个卖茶人

haren

News Article itself contradicts IMF projection by mention of prections of other Credt Rating Financial Agencies.

这篇新闻文提到了其他信用评级金融机构的预测，与IMF的预测相矛盾，

haren

Monstrous & Prodigious Debt Burden invoked by Gov of Feku in last 5 years is Record Breaking in Last 70 years.

莫迪政府过去5年给国家造成了巨大债务负担，创下了70年来的最高纪录。

Melman const

To get 4% positive growth similar to 2019, Indian economy need to grow 12% from present state. Next year will have 8% growth and India 4%.

要想实现2019年那样的4%正增长，印度经济需要在现有基础上增长12%。明年，的经济增长率将达到8%，而印度才4%。

Observer

As expected Modi detractors will term IMF projection as fake or manufactured data.

不出所料，批评莫迪的人称IMF的预测是假的。

Nature Truth

#8% growth of $16T GDP=$1.28T=46% of India GDP.

#11.5% growth of India $2.75 GDP =$0.316T. India need to grow at 46% just to keep the gap from widening. But West & India are bragging India will surpass to become biggest economy soon. Possible?

GDP增长8%=16万亿美元*8%= 1.28万亿=印度GDP的46%

印度GDP增长11.5%=2.75万亿美元*11.5%= 0.316万亿，印度经济需要以46%的速度增长，才能避免中印差距扩大。

西方和印度都在吹嘘印度很快会超过成为最大经济体，可能吗?

haren

APPARENT INDETERMINATE GOODY GOODY Report of IMF will be used by Fekuji as Certificate Of Excellent Governance during Pandemic & Fekuji will refer it in for Bengal Assam TN Elections. Indian Citizens survived without any Aide Sympathy

IMF的这份假报告将被莫迪用作疫情期间执政有方的证明，

莫迪将在孟加拉邦阿萨姆邦选举的时候用上了这份报告。

印度公民在没有任何援助的情况下生存了下来

Dgdilip

TOI could have easily said, induan eco to expand by double digits in 2021.

印度时报应该把标题改为，2021年印度经济将以两位数增长。

Krishna

Supreme People Have Right to Fight when their Indians Economy & India Destroyed by Di-tors for Benefitting Foreigners esp ;

印度经济被破坏，人们有权站出来抵制

Nature Truth

has dropped GDP growth target from now, switch to sustainable quality growth(5%?). Can India even sustain 5% growth for next 20yrs? But India needs above 8% growth to create 10mils new jobs for its explosive population?

调低了GDP增长目标，转向可持续的高质量增长(5%?)。

印度能否在未来20年保持5%的增长?

印度人口呈现爆炸式增长，印度经济需增长8%以上，才能新增的人口创造1000万个新的就业机会?

Nature Truth

In 2019, best year of India & world, India Finance Minister boosted 11% growth but ended 4.2%, fueled by 6% inflation.

In 2020, a contract of 30% over 2Qtr, -7% fueled by 8% inflation & $500Bils pum.

2021 IMF=11.5%?, we will see how much inflation and rupees devaluation is required to inflate this grow.l that will be highest ever in India history.

2019年是印度和世界表现最好的一年，印度财政部长推动经济实现了11%的增长。

到2020年第二季度萎缩幅度达到30%，通货膨胀率为8%。

国际货币基金组织(IMF)预测印度经济2021年的增速为11.5% ，

通货膨胀多高，卢比贬值多少才能推动这种增长？

这将是印度史上最高的。

OK Time

And petrol price will be above 90rs

油价将上涨至90卢比以上

haren

Great Achievement by Feku. Everybody is silent. No opposition. No Protests. No Rallies. No Highway Block. Achchhe Din Aye Hai. Enjoy Enjoy Enjoy

莫迪的伟大成就。每个人都沉默，没有反对，没有抗议，没有集会。好好享受“好日子”吧

haren

IMF projections are Provisional & Looks Half True Half False like behaviour of Feku. It is very hard to believe but something is Fishy Unbelievable Hyperbolic & Well Exaggerated.

国际货币基金组织的预测只是预测，看起来一半对一半错，就像莫迪的行为一样，捉摸不定。很难相信，有些事是可疑的，太夸张了。