Record vaccinations may not stop third wave in India

创纪录的疫苗接种也可能无法阻止印度爆发第三波疫情

NEW DELHI: Officials in New Delhi rejoiced earlier this week when India hit a single-day record by administering more than 8 million Covid-19 vaccinations.

新德里：本周初，印度在单日接种了800多万剂新冠疫苗，创下了新的记录，新德里的官员为此感到高兴。

But even this unprecedented pace may not be fast enough for a country just emerging from a devastating second wave to head off a third one, experts say. They also question whether this week’s push averaging about 4.6 million doses a day, up from about 3 million for most of the past month, can be sustained.

但专家们表示，对于一个刚刚走出第二波造成严重破坏的疫情的国家来说，即便是这种前所未有的速度也不足以阻止第三波疫情的到来。他们还质疑，本周平均每天接种460万剂能否持续，而过去一个月的大部分时间里，平均每天约接种300万剂。

Despite halting all exports in April and benefiting from a huge vaccine producing industry, India has covered only 4% of its vast population, putting it far behind most of the West and China, which is deploying about 20 million doses a day. At this rate, some scientists say a third wave could arrive within months, driving fears the country may see a repeat of the recent nightmare of oxygen shortages and overwhelmed hospitals.

尽管印度4月份停止了疫苗出口，并受益于庞大的疫苗生产行业，但印度的疫苗覆盖率仅为其庞大人口的4%，远远落后于大多数西方国家和中国，后者每天接种约2000万剂疫苗。一些科学家说，按照这个速度，第三波疫情可能会在几个月内到来，这让人担心印度可能会重演最近的氧气短缺和医院不堪负荷的噩梦。

“I don’t think the recent spurt can be maintained, given what we know of the supply situation,” said Gautam Menon, a professor of physics and biology at Ashoka University, who also works on modeling outbreaks. “The single-day spike seems to have been the result of a concerted effort by some states, who may have stockpiled doses for this purpose. We would need to get to about 10 million doses per day to ensure that a future wave is less potent.”

Ashoka大学的物理学和生物学教授Gautam Menon也在研究疫情爆发，他说：“根据我们对供应状况的了解，我认为最近的大量疫苗接种无法维持下去。单日接种峰值似乎是一些邦共同努力的结果，他们可能为此储备了大量剂量。我们需要每天接种大约1000万剂，以确保接下来的一波疫情不会那么猛烈。”

India’s challenges in accelerating its inoculation drive are considerable. The fewer than 100 million doses per month being currently pumped out of two local manufacturers are struggling to cover its nearly 1.4 billion people. There is also considerable hesitancy to overcome and logistical hurdles to reaching much of the countryside, where more than two-thirds of Indians live.

印度在加速接种工作方面面临着相当大的挑战。目前，两家本土生产商每月生产的疫苗不足1亿剂，难以覆盖印度近14亿人口。在克服后勤方面的障碍和进入大部分农村地区(超过三分之二的印度人居住在农村)方面也存在相当大的挑战。

以下是印度时报读者的评论：译者：Jessica.Wu

Shobitro Chatterjee

Blame Modi blame Modi blame Modi

Whatever happens blame Modi.

怪莫迪，怪莫迪，怪莫迪，不管发生什么，都怪莫迪。

Sandipan Dutta

India is lucky to have MODI as it's leader,we will undoubtedly fight this CHINESE VIRUS with full strength and come out successful.

People with negative mentality can do a lot by kee their dirty mouths shut.

印度很幸运有莫迪这样的领导人，毫无疑问我们会全力抗击病毒并取得成功。那些消极的人可以闭上他们的脏嘴，那就算做贡献了。

Firm Opinion

Your paper seems to hell bent on spreading fear among public.

印度时报似乎一心要在公众中散布恐惧。

Sudhanshu Shukla

stop fear mongering to promote yourself. people are already depressed enough

停止散布恐慌，人们已经够沮丧的了

Kumar Patel

when nobody anticipated such 2nd wave, how come we can now predict 3rd wave. it's like saying it rained today, so it will rain tomorrow also. everyday it's a new prediction. just mask up , follow social distancing, maintain hygiene, get vaccinated and shut up

之前没人预料到第二波，现在怎么能预测第三波。这就好比说今天下雨了，那么明天也会下雨。每天都有新的预言。戴上口罩，保持社交距离，保持卫生，接种疫苗，然后闭上嘴

Reena Tyagi

The author has gone mad. I don't why such biased articles are allowed.

作者疯了。我不明白为什么允许刊登这种有偏见的文章。

Guest

Present vaccination drive should be encouraged.

应该鼓励目前的疫苗接种运动。

Bhadri Vakacherla

real problem is the chaos being created by so called "experts" .. never were their predictions consistent to one another nor they hav advised in time ..

真正的问题是所谓的“专家”制造的混乱。他们的预测从不一致，他们的建议也不及时。

Atul Srivastava

who is this pessimistic author. why are you looking for negativity in this positive development

这位悲观的作者是谁?

为什么要在进展积极的时候说消极的事呢？

Rupesh Shukla

News papers and News channels will make sure 3rd wave comes in India!!

报纸和新闻频道将确保印度第三波疫情的到来！

Raghavan Chandroth

Blamng Modi has become a fashion for decimated political parties with back ground support from many news channels and publishers who are in act the brain child of congress party.

指责莫迪已经成为了一些政党的一种时尚，这些政党背后有许多新闻频道和出版商的支持，而他们实际上听从国大党的指挥。

Santosh Kumar

The situation arise because of modi....

这种情况是莫迪造成的....

Rajesh Sachdev

This article is as per expectations is negating all the effort made by the government.

这篇文章否定了印度政府所做的所有努力。

Nimesh Solanki

We are in a country where politicians & burecrats just make big promises & we blindly accept them as we don't have any option. Only we ourselves can save us by following rules for a few more months

在印度，政客和官僚们只会做夸大的承诺，我们盲目地接受，因为别无选择。只有我们自己才能拯救自己，遵守规定几个月就行。

mohan

BJP needs to go.. they are only worried about upcoming UP elections.. rest of the indians can go to hell...

人民党该下台了…他们只担心即将到来的北方邦选举…其余的印度人随他下地狱…

Akash S

One thing I didn't understand till now why vaccine roll out of Sputnik V is so slow. It's been 2 months since 1st batch arrived but till now board didn't even approve the vaccine. What politics they are playing?? Something fishy is going on. Seems they 1st want to sell all Covishield vaccines then they will start roll out of other vaccines.

有件事我到现在还不明白为什么俄罗斯Sputnik V疫苗的推出这么慢，第一批到货到现在已经2个月了，但是直到现在都没有批准疫苗的使用。他们在玩什么政治把戏?

有点可疑，似乎他们首先要销售完所有Covishield 疫苗然后再开始推出其他疫苗。

Ashis Mitra

Hope there is no election at that time.

希望到时候没有选举

Rudra Kundu

This article is a junk. This week after record, India inoculated on a 6 million per day.

这篇文章是垃圾，本周印度每天接种600万剂。

Anjan Kesh

Only 4 percent of the population is fully vaccinated. Single dose vaccination numbers may fool citizens but it will not fool the virus.

只有4%的人口完成了疫苗接种。单剂疫苗接种量可能能忽悠得了市民，但糊弄不了病毒。

Vikas Shelke

calculate in percentage please China US has covered 90 %of population . India has not even covered 25 % fully .we need to tech 50 million doses per day

请按百分比计算，中国和美国已经接种了90%的人口。印度甚至还没有完全覆盖25%。我们每天需要接种5000万剂疫苗

Krishnamurti Narrainen

why INDIANS are having so many children

为什么印度人要生这么多孩子？