IMF将印度经济2022财年的增长率从12%下调至9.5%

IMF slashes India’s FY22 growth to 9.5% from 12

国际货币基金组织将印度2022财年的增长率从12%下调至9.5%

NEW DELHI: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday cut India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 9.5% for 2021-22, from its earlier estimate of 12.5%, citing the impact of the second wave on the economy and recovery process.

新德里：周二，国际货币基金组织(IMF)将印度2021-2022年的国内生产总值(GDP)增速从此前估计的12.5%下调至9.5%，理由是第二波疫情对经济和复苏进程的影响。

In its latest update to the World Economic Outlook, the IMF said growth prospects in India have been downgraded, following the severe second Covid wave during March–May and expected slow recovery in confidence from that setback.

国际货币基金组织在其最新的《世界经济展望》中表示，在3月至5月发生严重的第二波疫情之后，印度的增长率被下调，预计从这次挫折中信心恢复缓慢。

“Faster-than-expected vaccination rates and return to normalcy have led to upgrades, while lack of access to vaccines and renewed waves of Covid-19 cases in some countries, notably India, have led to downgrades,” IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath said in a blog.

IMF首席经济学家Gita Gopinath在博客中表示：“快于预期的疫苗接种率和恢复正常促使上调，而一些国家(尤其是印度)缺乏疫苗和新一波疫情导致了下调。”

In countries with high vaccination coverage, such as the UK and Canada, the impact would be mild. Meanwhile, countries lagging in vaccination, such as India and Indonesia, would suffer the most among G20 economies, according to the World Economic outlook update. China is estimated to grow by 8.1% in 2021 and by 5.7% next year, while India is projected to grow by 8.5% in 2022-23. India still retains the tag of the fastest growing major economy.

在疫苗接种覆盖率高的国家，如英国和加拿大，影响将是温和的。与此同时，根据最新的《世界经济展望》，在G20经济体中，印度和印度尼西亚等疫苗接种滞后的国家将遭受最严重的打击。据估计，中国在今年和明年的增长率分别为8.1%和5.7%，而印度在2022-2023财年的增长率预计为8.5%。印度仍然是增长最快的主要经济体。

IMF is the latest in a string of economists, brokerages, multilateral agencies, which have reduced India’s GDP growth estimates against the backdrop of the second wave, which hurt the economy. The RBI now estimates GDP growth at 9.5% for 2021-22, lowering it from its earlier estimate of 10.5%.

在印度经济受到第二波冲击的背景下，经济学家、券商和多边机构纷纷下调了印度的GDP增长预期，IMF是其中最新的一个。印度储备银行目前估计，2021-2022财年印度GDP增速为9.5%，低于此前预计的10.5%。

The government expects growth to be robust for the current fiscal and experts say impact of the second wave is likely to be limited to the April-June quarter with some possible spillover to July. The global economy is projected to grow 6% in 2021 and 4.9% in 2022. The 2021 global forecast is unchanged from the April 2021 WEO, but with offsetting revisions.

印度政府预计，在当前财政状况下，经济增长将保持强劲。专家表示，第二波疫情对增长的影响可能仅限于4 - 6月这一季度，可能会在7月产生溢出效应。预计2021年全球经济将增长6%，2022年将增长4.9%。2021年全球预测与2021年4月《世界经济展望》持平，但进行了抵消性修正。

以下是印度时报读者的评论：译者：Jessica.Wu

Mark

Another masterstroke by Modi Sarkar. Looks like his beard his doing wonders finally

莫迪的又一个杰作。看来他的胡子终于创造奇迹了

Raj Arvind

even 9.5% don't seem realistic even for largely optimistically minded people.

对于大部分思想乐观的人，即使是9.5%似乎也不现实

abhishek sharma

Anti Nationalist IMF.

IMF是反民族主义的

John The Rice Bag

Uneducated FEKU is planning to ban the IMF app ....not knowing that there is no such app

没文化的莫迪正计划禁止IMF应用....他不知道根本就没有这样的APP

Iqbal S Kapasi

IMF doesn't know modi-shah and their capabilities, modi-shah can turn a projected GDP growth of 9.5 % to minus 9.5%, Never underestimate the power of the uneducated.

国际货币基金组织不知道莫迪和他们的能力，莫迪可以把GDP增长从9.5%拖到-9.5%，永远不要低估文盲的力量。

PStokes S

Modi Ji promised Achhe din, that means minimum 12.5% . indias massive financial achivemnets. Total amount of Black money is now back to India.

莫迪承诺带来“好日子”，这意味着增长至少达到12.5%。所有的黑钱现在都回到了印度。

khotpal

Modiji,i request you to attack IMF HQ ASAP.Send rafale-tanks-missiles and do another notebandi

莫迪，我请求你尽快袭击IMF总部。派“阵风”战机，阿琼坦克和布拉莫斯导弹去

Rajiv Jhaveri

Now Modi will raid the offices of IMF

现在莫迪将突袭IMF办公室

John The Rice Bag

Bring back Manmohan Singh and Raghuram Rajan..... they will set things right in 3 months, cos they are educated.....

让曼莫汉·辛格和拉古拉姆·拉詹回来.....他们会在3个月内挽回颓势，他们都受过高等教育

John The Rice Bag

Bhakts will now claim that IMF headquarters is in Islamabad

印度人现在会宣称国际货币基金组织的总部在伊斯兰堡

Deepak Soni

Oh really This is impossible as long as Narendra Modi and Government is in charge of the affairs . Nirmala Sitharaman shall never allow GDP to grow positively . All the efforts have been successfully made by her to keep GDP in negative .

真的吗？只要纳伦德拉·莫迪执政，这是不可能的。西塔拉曼永远不会允许GDP正增长。她所做的一切努力都成功地使GDP保持负数。

Dr Vidyadhar Yellutla

Pappu piddys who were once critical about IMF as Modi voice will now jump into and become self appointed economic experts for few hours

曾经批评IMF的拉胡尔，现在将投身其中，充当几个小时的自封经济专家

Patriotic Indian

"if modi becomes PM, it would be disastrous for india :- dr. manmohan singh ! how right he was when he predicted this !

“如果莫迪成为总理，对印度将是灾难性的”:-曼莫汉·辛格博士

他的预言是多么正确啊

Feku

If Feku panauti continues, we should consider ourselves lucky if GDP reaches -9.5% from -25%

5 Trillion was Jumla

要是莫迪继续执政，如果GDP能从-25%升至-9.5%，我们都应该认为自己是幸运的，5万亿美元的经济体只是吹牛。

Dr Bajrang Thakur MD

Bangladesh GDP Rose because 1700 manufacturing units were moved from China to Banglaesh. Vietnam economy accelerated due to growth in exports, and here we have this clown who is busy snoo is own people, opposition and everone he thinks is threat.... Modi is always in opposition mode waiting for the next elections.

孟加拉国GDP上升是因为1700个工厂从中国迁到了孟加拉国。越南经济因出口增长而加速，而现在我们有一个小丑，正忙着监听自己人、反对派和他认为是威胁的每个人....莫迪总是以反对党的姿态等待下一次选举。

HappyTimes User

FEKU Modi is a big panouti. So long he's there India will not do well in any sphere including Olympics. Panouti ko baghao.

只要莫迪还在，印度在任何领域都做不好，包括奥运会。

Mad Joy

all these forecasts are bs .. let the actual results come out

所有这些预测都是胡扯，等结果出来

Prateek Singh

So in short no V shape rebound from economic collapse!!

简而言之，印度经济崩溃后不会出现V型反弹！

Estate

There is no surprise in this news. During Covid period this is all expected only, Opposition will play politics , fooling people criticising the central Govt. We need to elect good and knowledgeable leaders

这个消息没有什么令人惊讶的。在新冠疫情期间，这一切都是意料之中的，反对派会玩政治，忽悠人民批评印度政府。我们需要选出优秀、知识渊博的领导人

Feku

Remove incompetent nirmala bai and make Subramanian swamy or Raghuram Rajan Finance Minister.

除掉不称职的西塔拉曼，让萨勃拉曼尼亚或拉古拉姆·拉詹当财政部长。

Dr Vidyadhar Yellutla

Given with the circumstances, anything above 7% its good rate.

在这种情况下，增长率只要高于7%都是不错的。