India's wheat, rice stock to be just over buffer level in October

到10月份，印度的小麦、大米库存略高于缓冲水平

For the first time since 2015 (when the present stocking norms were approved), India's food stocks for both wheat and rice could be barely over the buffer norms come October 1. Any open market sales between now and September, which is typically done to stabilise prices, would bring the stocks below buffer norms, but the government has said there will not be any open market sales this year.

自2015年(当时制定了目前的库存标准)以来，印度的小麦和大米粮食库存将在10月1日首次勉强超过缓冲标准。

从现在到9月的公开市场出售，通常是为了稳定价格，使库存低于缓冲标准，但政府表示，今年不会有公开市场出售。

The food grain bulletin for May, a monthly publication of the department of food and public distribution, states that by the end of that month, the government's stocks of rice and wheat were 331.2 lakh tons and 311.4 lakh tons respectively. Calculations show that between June and September, the government would have to allocate about 97.5 lakh tonnes of rice and 75 lakh tonnes of wheat for the targeted PDS and other welfare schemes if offtake is at about the same level as last year. Another 132 lakh tonnes of rice and 28 lakh tonnes of wheat will be needed for the PM Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana (PMGKAY) over the same period. That adds up to about 229 lakh tonnes of rice and 102 lakh tonnes of rice for all schemes between June and September. Subtract that from the stocks as of May end and we are left with around 103 lakh tonnes of rice and 208 lakh tonnes of wheat. The norms specify that as on Oct 1, there should be stocks of 103.2 lakh tonnes of rice and 205.2 lakh tonnes of wheat.

食品和公开配售部每月出版的《5月粮食公报》指出，截至5月底，印度的大米和小麦库存分别为3312万吨和3114万吨。

计算显示，在6月到9月之间，政府必须为目标PDS和其他福利计划分配约975万吨大米和750万吨小麦，如果采购量与去年大致相同的话。

同期，总理“Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana福利计划”(PMGKAY)将另需132万吨大米和280万吨小麦。

这意味着在6月至9月期间，所有计划需要的大米总量约为2290万吨，而所有计划需要的小麦总量为1020万吨。

从截至5月底的库存中减去这个数字，我们剩下的大米约为1030万吨，小麦约为2080万吨。标准规定，从10月1日起，大米库存应达到1032万吨，小麦库存应达到2052万吨

以下是印度时报读者的评论： 译者：Jessica.Wu

Suresh Kamath

Under the PMGAY Schemes hope the Right beneficiary is getting the Food from the Govt and there is NO LEAKAGES there and cross check once in a while with available Technology to update the STOCKS of Food would be prudent and FCI must be fully upgraded with Hi Tech so that LOSSES are reduced and MOST of the FOOD Grains stored are used for the needy PEOPLE of the Country and should NEVER go to some PROFIT minded MASTERMINDS who surely may misuse these Stocks . JAI HIND JAI SRI RAM VANDE MATARAM WE LOVE OUR INDIA & PROUD TO BE INDIANS ALWAYS

在PMGAY计划下，希望真正需要的受益人从政府那里获得粮食，每隔一段时间用现有技术进行交叉检查，更新粮食库存，这是谨慎的做法，FCI必须用高科技全面升级，以减少损失，储存的大部分粮食给到国家需要的人，永远不要给那些肯定会滥用这些库存谋私利的人。印度必胜，我们爱印度，永远为自己是印度人而自豪

Joy Bangla Joy Bharat

Why does central government only procure from few states such as Punjab, Haryana and western UP? Why cant they evenly procure from farmers of other states? This will reduce over dependence of Punjab/Haryana farmers on MSP which was their root cause of anger against the farm laws. Other states farmers will also be benefitted if govt procures more from them.

为什么印度政府只从旁遮普邦、哈里亚纳邦和北方邦西部采购?

为什么他们不能平均点，也从其他邦的农民那里采购呢?

此举可以减少旁遮普邦和哈里亚纳邦农民对MSP的过度依赖，这是他们对农业法愤怒的根源。

如果政府加大从其他邦采购，其他邦的农民也会受益。

Jhn Knws

Why not take a percentage of the stock and sell it to ME countries at a price linked to the oil price. When Saudi Arabia can sell oil at 95 USD a barrel which costs just about 5.5 USD to produce, why not apply similar formula where sale price is not linked to production costs, but supply vs demand purely. Make a cartel of all food grain producing countries to fix the price and control the stock availability in international market

为什么不拿出一定比例的库存，以与油价挂钩的价格卖给中东国家呢？

当沙特阿拉伯可以以95美元每桶的价格出售石油，而生产成本仅为5.5美元时，为什么不采用类似的做法，即销售价格与生产成本无关，而是纯粹的供需关系。

将所有粮食生产国组成一个垄断联盟，以确定国际市场的价格，控制库存供应

sonjusen

For kee them in power, this govt is going to reward the people of this country with starvation, just like their British masters.

为了让他们继续掌权，这个政府打算用饥饿来奖励这个国家的人民，就像他们的英国主人一样。

1 1 • Reply • Flag

How did you arrive at that idiotic conclusion?

你是怎么得出这个愚蠢结论的?

Timir Ghosh

All these stock calculations are up to September 30th. As per Ministry of Finance and expenditure warning, Govt must stop all free bees to so called 80 Cr Poor to avoid Budget deficit from exploding level- impacting Balance of Payment, inflation and big depreciation of Rupee, when Crude Oil & Food Price is high. In fact only 25-30 Cr are real poor in rural areas, balance are fake illegals in Urban sectors. Either shift them in barracks or throw outside of Border- as Bangladesh did to them. I ...

这些库存计算截止到9月30日。按照财政部的支出警告，政府得阻止向所谓的8亿穷人发免费的东西，以避免预算赤字爆发，

在原油和食品价格高企的时候，这将影响国际收支，导致通货膨胀和卢比的大幅贬值。

事实上，农村地区只有2.5-3亿人口是真正的穷人。

要么把他们转移到军营，要么扔到边境之外——就像孟加拉国做的那样。

0 1 • Reply • Flag

Discontinue either PDS or PM Garib Kalyan Yojna. The so-called poor are getting benefits for doings nothing.

停止PDS或总理Garib Kalyan Yojna计划。所谓的穷人什么都不做就能得到好处。

Pranav Sharma

Immediately ban exports and aid to countries. No more food diplomacy at the expense of poor Indians.

立即禁止出口和援助其他国家。不要再以牺牲印度穷人为代价进行粮食外交。

Nkmm

I hope no contigency will happen and the stock will not get depleted. Godd effort by Government!

我希望不会发生意外，库存不会耗尽。政府干得好!

0 0 • Reply • Flag

PDS scheme is for the rats of india , who owe their loyalty to everything except india and indianness

PDS计划是为印度的老鼠准备的，他们对一切都忠诚

Pradeep

Please think before you give it to apghanistan

给阿富汗之前请三思

0 0 • Reply • Flag

India took decision wisely not to export food grains under pressure from several western countries. If food grains traders sensed any shortage they would have manipulated the prices to unthinkable levels that would have put common people into serious trouble. Luckily that scenario was averted let us hope so.

顶着几个西方国家的施压，印度做出了不出口粮食的明智决定。如果粮食交易商察觉到任何短缺，他们就会将价格操纵到令人难以想象的水平，从而使普通百姓陷入严重的麻烦。幸运的是，这种情况被避免了。

3 0 • Reply • Flag

India can feed world is same as India will be savior for world on Corona . 

印度可以养活世界，印度将成为世界的救世主

Vinod Aggarwal

INDIA NEEDS A GOOD MONSOON FIRST

印度首先需要一个风调雨顺的雨季

0 0 • Reply • Flag

If the oil rich islamic countries can control oil production and price, so too should India with respect to food grains.

如果石油丰富的伊 斯兰国家可以控制石油产量和价格，那么印度也能控制粮食产量和价格。

2 0 • Reply • Flag

And our great leaders are exporting to Sri lanka just to show off for PR circles

我们伟大的领导人把粮食出口到斯里兰卡，只是为了在公关圈里炫耀

Aspire to Inspire

Does it mean retail prices will rise since Govt will not sell in the market till Oct 1 to stabilise them ?

这是否意味着零售价格将上涨，因为政府在10月1日之前不会在市场上出售以稳定价格？

Gentleman

May be signs of exporting grains as Ukraine exports has stopped completely

可能是出口粮食的迹象，乌克兰的出口已经完全停止了

News

the grains need to be stored properly to prevent from rain damages

粮食需要妥善储存，以防止雨水的破坏

Musaffi

Why keep , Sell at premium price to cash rich countries. Specially OPEC countries , Follow and try there dirty trick for wheats sells as they use for oil to maxmize the profit.

为什么要留着，高价卖给富裕国家，特别是欧佩克国家，效仿他们销售石油的肮脏伎俩，以实现利润最大化。

Aspire to Inspire

If sell all, what will happen if next harvest is affected due floods rains etc ? Then import ?

如果全部卖了，如果下次收成受到洪水、降雨等影响，会发生什么？

然后再进口吗?

Aditya Bhuyan

India must hoard and sell at premium price to gulf countries.

印度可以囤积粮食，然后高价卖给海湾国家。