金砖国家的经济实力会超过七国集团吗

Will BRICS eclipse the G7 in economic might?

金砖国家的经济实力会超过七国集团吗?

以下是Quora网友的评论：

Kanthaswamy Balasubramaniam

The G7 controls the World's Financial System and Markets

七国集团控制着世界金融体系和市场

US Dollar, Euro, Pound and Yen together form 96.6% of the World's Reserve Currencies

SWIFT Payment System controls 93.4% of all International Transactions in the World

Financial Markets of US, Germany, Japan, UK together control around 70% of Capital Assets (include Switzerland because its a part of the West)

International Maritime Insurance is almost entirely held by the G7 with UK taking the Lions Share of 64%

美元、欧元、英镑和日元占世界储备货币的96.6%

SWIFT支付系统控制着全球93.4%的国际交易

美国、德国、日本和英国的金融市场总共控制了大约70%的资本资产(包括瑞士，因为它也属于是西方)。

国际海事保险公司几乎全部由七国集团控股，其中英国的份额最大，占到64%

BRICS controls Natural Resources and Commodities and Trade

金砖国家控制自然资源、商品和贸易

Now I am going to assume that Argentina and Saudi Arabia would not join BRICS eventually

BRICS together controls approxmately 46% of the World's Oil and 56% of the World's Gas

BRICS controls 54% of the World's Trade

BRICS controls 44% of the World's Grain, Wheat and Food Production

BRICS controls 53% of the World's Ship Routes

现在假设阿根廷和沙特阿拉伯最终不会加入金砖国家

金砖国家总共控制着全球约46%的石油和56%的天然气

金砖国家控制着世界贸易的54%

金砖国家控制着全球44%的谷物、小麦和粮食产量

金砖国家控制着全球53%的航线

As you can see the BRICS and G7 should complement each other right?

The Established vs Emerging

The Developed vs Develo

The Landlords vs the Manufacturers

Instead any competition between BRICS and G7 will only be a win for the BRICS

The reason is because it's easier to create a financial system and reserve currency and raise capital

金砖国家和七国集团应该相互补充，对吗？

老牌vs新兴

发达国家vs发展中国家

地主vs制造商

金砖国家和七国集团之间的竞争只会成为金砖国家的胜利

原因在于，搭建金融体系、储备货币和筹集资金更容易

Jan Kraus

ALL the BRICS Currencies are performing poorly currently — US Dollar has been performing well

Where would you place your assets?

目前所有金砖国家的货币都表现不佳，美元一直表现亮眼

你会把你的资产放在哪里？

Albert Beck

It could happen, but not this week or next. Let us get straight now in our minds that simply adding the “ GDPs” of various alliances does not settle the issue of “ economic might” in our world. BRICS is grown in membership to 11 unique and different countries. Each has its objectives, needs, wants, motives. I personally see a need for something besides a dysfunctional United Nations, a domineering World Bank Banking-led World Order.

这是有可能发生的，但不会是本周或下周。现在让我们开门见山吧，简单地把各种联盟的“GDP”加起来，根本解决不了我们的“经济实力”问题。金砖国家已经有了11个各具特色的国家，每个国家都有自己的目标、需求、欲望和动机。我个人认为，除了一个功能失调的联合国、一个由世界银行主导的专横跋扈的世界秩序之外，我们还需要一些别的东西。

Wesley Little

Not likely; but, it could certainly have a negative impact long-term on the current global trade financial system. It's being developed because the United States can use the current system to impose trade sanction on countries like Russia, China, and North Korea.

不太可能；但肯定会对当前的全球贸易金融体系产生长期负面影响。因为美国可以利用现行制度对俄罗斯、中国和朝鲜等国家实施贸易制裁。

Peter Kaye

No doubt about it, in time,

G7, are developed countries, and are more our less stagnant at the moment, while BRICS+ countries are mostly develo, which means their economies are growing much faster than the G7, given the differences in population their economic might will outstrip the G7 by a long way, All it will take is time, when ? Wouldn’t have a clue, the biggest advantage the BRICS countries have is plenty of raw minerals and materials for building, which most of the G7 countries are lacking.

judging by the figures, they already have passed the G7, phew!!

毫无疑问，只需假以时日。

七国集团是发达国家，但目前停滞不前，而金砖四国+国家大多是发展中国家，这意味着它们的经济增长速度比七国集团快得多，考虑到人口差异，他们的经济实力将远远超过七国集团。只是需要时间，要等到什么时候？不知道，金砖国家最大的优势是拥有丰富的建筑原材料，这正是大多数七国集团国家所缺乏的。

从数据来看，他们已经超过了G7！！

William Simpson

Well take a look at them

Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus new six Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi and UAE.

Common themes? .Preference for plan over market. High inflation, civil wars and sanctions. Caste system and/or maldistribution of income.

Logical answer? No. But they will probably gang up to restrict exports and hold us in free countries hostage to their and stupid policies.

我们来分析看看

巴西，俄罗斯，印度，中国，南非，加上新的六个成员国：阿根廷，埃及，埃塞俄比亚，伊朗，沙特和阿联酋。

共同的主题？计划经济优先于市场经济。高通胀、内战和制裁。种姓制度和/或收入分配不均衡。

合乎逻辑的答案？不。但他们可能会联合起来限制出口，把我们这些国家的人当做他们愚蠢政策的人质。

John Tan

Put the present 11 countries together, & you will find they grow between 20 to 30% of the world’s grain, and of the 11, Saudi Arabia has the world’s 2nd largest proven oil reserve, Iran the 3rd, the UAE the 8th, & Russia the 9th.

So how does that look?

把现在的11个国家放在一起，你会发现它们的粮食产量占世界的20%到30%，在这11个国家中，沙特阿拉伯拥有世界第二大探明石油储量，伊朗第三，阿联酋第八，俄罗斯第九。

这么看的话，又如何？

Buddhahead

It already has. The G7 is 27% of global GDP, BRICS is 36%, BTW, China alone is 18.5% and the US is 15.4% based on PPP.

它其实已经做到了。七国集团占全球GDP的27%，金砖国家占36%，顺便说一句，按购买力平价计算，中国占18.5%，美国占15.4%。

PC Yu

What does joining BRICS do to a country's economy and what's the impact it could have on a country’s status as a potency?

The purpose of BRICS is dedollarisation & de-SWFIT. That is to stop using USD or US banking system SWIFT.

BRICS members will use regional currency or Chinese yuan if a country is too small. They will set up a new banking system.

加入金砖国家对一个国家的经济有何影响？对一个国家的潜在地位有何影响？

金砖国家的目的是去美元化和去SWIFT，也就是停止使用美元或美国银行系统SWIFT。

金砖国家将使用地区货币或人民币，也将建立一个新的银行体系。

USA manipulates its interest rate & exchange rate so as to suck other’s capital. Or when USA has domestic financial problems, if will transfer its financial problems to others, which is irresponsible.

Dedollarisation & de-SWIFT will help countries to prevent bankruptcy due to USA. They will also save a lot by not using US exchange rate.

Without BRICS, business is as usual between 2 countries. You sell & I buy. No change.

The change is : you save more money & prevent bankruptcy due to hegemon & irresponsible USA.

美国操纵其利率和汇率，吸收其他国家的资本。当美国国内出现金融问题时，就把自己的金融问题转移到其他国家，这是非常不负责任的行为。

去美元化和去SWIFT化可以让各国防止因美国而破产。不使用美元汇率，他们也会省下很多钱。

没有金砖国家，两国之间的贸易就像往常一样。你卖，我买。没有变化。

不同之处在于你可以省下更多的钱，防止因为霸权和美国的任性妄为而破产。

Don Sillers

What is the economic significance of BRICs?

“BRICS” is an acronym for five middle-income countries with large populations: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. The economic significance of each of these countries differs, according to its size and economic performance. For example, China plays a key role in global manufacturing, while India has had great success in business services facilitated by modern communications technology.

When the term BRICS arose during the 2000s, some people seem to have thought that this group of countries had some significance beyond the economic performance of the individual countries – that the whole was somehow greater than the sum of the parts. This ideas seems to have faded over time, as the five countries have experienced very different economic and political fortunes.

金砖四国的经济意义是什么？

“金砖国家”是五个人口众多的中等收入国家的首字母缩略词：巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非。这些国家的经济重要性根据其规模和经济表现而有所不同。例如，中国在全球制造业中发挥着关键作用，而印度在现代通信技术推动下的商业服务方面取得了巨大成功。

21世纪初刚开始出现金砖国家一词时，有些人似乎认为这一联盟的重要性超越了单个国家的经济表现。但随着时间的推移，这种想法似乎已经被淡忘了，这五个国家呈现了截然不同的经济和政治命运。

John Wong

What is the G7 doing wrong in its confrontation with BRICS+?

It’s not G7 doing wrong as such but rather many of them are NATO while the rest are “friends of NATO”, while NATO is an aggressive organization, not “defensive” don’t be fooled. So, what’s the mistake? They were at least part of the cause of the Ukraine war. (Simply to say if “no NATO, no Ukraine war”.) That had started many countries’ economic decline, while those who might have gained from that their citizens had not benefited, only some parties.

If we are talking G7, they are also those who think they rule the rest of the world. Is that wrong? Just ‘human nature’ right? Anyway, just happens that BRICS is just becoming strong enough together to ‘withstand’ certain economic bullying. (e.g. sanctions and $ hegemony).

Those wanting to join the BRICS, the “plus”(+), are merely wanting to “take shelter”.

七国集团在与“金砖+”的对抗中做错了什么？

G7并没有做错，但他们中有不少国家还同时是北约成员国，其他成员国是“北约的盟友”。北约不是“防御性”组织，而是一个侵略性组织。所以他们做错了什么呢？他们至少是促成乌克兰战争的部分原因(简单来说就是“如果没有北约，乌克兰战争就不会爆发”。)

许多国家的经济开始衰退，而那些可能从中获益的国家却并未受益，只有某些政党受益了。

七国集团正是那些自以为可以统治世界其他地区的国家。他们做错了吗？他们只想“捍卫人*”，对吗？不管怎样，金砖国家越来越强大，足以“抵御”某些经济霸凌(例如经济制裁和美元霸权)。

那些想加入金砖国家的国家，也就是“金砖+”成员国，只不过是想“寻求避难所”。

Do we call that ‘Confrontation’? Trying to avoid using a certain currency for example, is that an act of ‘confrontation’? Like wearing a raincoat when someone shooting water at you, do people call that a confrontation?

I guess the answer of what the G7 doing wrong is that they are bullying rather than working as responsible members of the Earth, for common good of human kind.

我们可以称之为“对抗”吗？例如，不再使用某种货币，算是一种“对抗”行为吗？如果有人朝你泼水，但你穿好了雨衣，这能叫做“对抗”吗？

七国集团做错了什么，要我说答案就是他们恃强欺弱，不是负责任的国家，没有为人类的共同利益而努力。

Andy Matsumoto

Why does G7 makeup 46% of Global GDP but BRICS is only 23%? How come the West is so much more powerful than East? What can China do?

China already did the best thing they have done. That is create a capitalist market economy. Some people mistakenly credit the success to their , but when they were building their socialist economy under their dic ship they were a lot poorer.

为什么七国集团占全球GDP的46%，而金砖国家只占23%？为什么西方比东方强大这么多？中国能做些什么？

中国已经做了最好的改变，那就是建立市场经济。有些人错把成功归功于统治，但他们在统治下建设社会主义经济时，他们穷多了。

Formulas for success:

Capitalist market economy

Democracy

Individual freedom

Rule of law

Balance of power

You may notice that western developed nations followed all of them.

成功的公式：

zb主义市场经济

个人自由

法治

权力平衡

你可能会注意到，西方发达国家遵循了以上原则。

Abdul Wahab

How long will BRICS last challenging G-7?

It would not be wise to compare the BRICS with the G7. It’s like comparing Apples to Oranges.

The G7 is a group of developed countries founded in 1975, and it has stood the test of time. Whereas BRICS, founded in 2009, has not taken any significant measures that would have impacted the world. Besides, BRICS has too many rivals within the group, and it’s members’ external policies are poles apart.

金砖国家对七国集团的挑战能持续多久？

把金砖国家和七国集团进行比较是不明智的做法。两者完全不同。

七国集团是1975年成立的发达国家集团，经受住了时间的考验。而成立于2009年的金砖国家，并没有实施过影响世界的重大举措。此外，金砖国家内部竞争对手太多，成员国的对外政策大相径庭。

William SimpsonRelatedHow long will BRICS last challenging G-7?

They are not challenging G7. That's like saying that the Premier League (Liverpool, Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City et al) are being challenged by the EFL (Charlton, Gillingham, Leyton Orient, Accrington Stanley et al).

They're in different divisions, or stages of socio economic development!

金砖国家对七国集团的挑战能持续多久？

金砖并没有对G7造成威胁。这就好比说英超联赛(利物浦、阿森纳、切尔西、曼城等)受到了英格兰足球联赛(查尔顿、吉林厄姆、莱顿东方、阿克灵顿斯坦利等)的威胁。

他们处于完全不同的社会经济发展阶段！