Can we dream of an India that becomes the world's biggest economy in the coming decades?  Is it possible or just a pipe dream?

我们能否梦想印度在未来几十年成为全球最大经济体？这个梦想有可能实现吗？会不会只是个白日梦？

以下是Quora网友的评价：

Inside Indian politics

Of course, Indians have every right to dream of an india that becomes the world's largest economy in the coming decades, preferably in the next decade.

It is perfectly possible if the people of India vote for development and infrastructure development in India. Vote for parties with strong economists like Manmohan Singh and Chidambaram. Do not vote for religion, caste, region, language, temple, cow urine etc.

当然，印度人完全有权利做梦，希望印度能在未来几十年，最好是未来10年内成为世界上最大的经济体。

如果印度人民投票支持印度的发展和基础设施的发展，这是完全有可能的。请印度人投票给拥有经济学家群体的政党，比如曼莫汉·辛格和奇丹巴拉姆。不要把选票投给宗教、种姓、地区、语言、寺庙、牛尿等等。

Mo-Anything

We can but that needs a completely different educational, administrative, political setup.

First, we have to stop brain drain and attract the brains to return to the country. Second, we have to provide conducive environment for research and innovation and registration of patents within the country and abroad. Cutting edge new technologies rule the world and we need to own some of them to make a mark in the international arena.

Capital chases returns and would move in the direction of potential.

Till then, the best brains may keep looking for greener pastures and contribute to the economies of foreign countries.

我们当然可以做梦，但这需要在印度引入完全不同的教育、管理和政治体制。

首先，我们必须阻止人才外流，吸引人才回国。第二，我们要为研究创新和国内外专利注册提供友好的环境。新的前沿科技统治着世界，我们需要掌握其中一些技术，才能在国际舞台上留下印记。

资本追逐回报，会朝着有发展潜力的方向倾斜。

在那之前，最优秀的人才可能会继续寻找更好的环境，为外国的经济做出贡献。

Anurag Srivastava

India will become become world's biggest economy, surpassing China, not in next few decade but more likely in next 50-years i.e. by about 2075AD or so.

This race is likely to start in next 2-decades i.e. by about 2045AD.

For better articulation about this issue, I will reccomend the

Vlogs of Late Mr.Hans Roseling

Rise & Fall of great empires; Author Mr. Paul Kennedy &

Splendid Exchange; Author Mr. William J Bernstein

印度将成为世界上最大的经济体，超过中国，但不会在近几十年内，更有可能发生在未来50年，也就是公元2075年左右。

这场竞赛可能会在未来20年内开始，也就是在公元2045年左右。

为了更好地阐明这个问题，我推荐大家看看

汉斯·罗斯林先生的《伟大帝国的兴衰》 作者：保罗·肯尼迪先生以及《伟大的交流》 作者：威廉·J·伯恩斯坦先生

Just to give an idea, Mr Kennedy has foreseen the rise of Chinese & Indian economy before 1981 (his book was published in 1981) when Indian economy did not counted and worst for Indian economy was yet to come in 1991, but eventually Indian economy started showing improvement and now Indian economy is somewhere between 5th to 7th depending on criteria, soon to be real 5th and ready to overtake German & Japanese economy in next decade.

Remember, in PPP terms India is already 3rd biggest economy.

肯尼迪先生在1981年(他的书出版于1981年)之前就预见了中国和印度经济的崛起，当时印度经济还无足轻重，1991年印度经济最糟糕的时刻也还未到来，但最终印度经济开始改善，现在印度经济已经排名世界第五到第七之间，很快就会成为货真价实的第五名，更做好了在未来十年超过德国和日本经济的准备。

记住，按购买力平价计算，印度现在已经是世界第三大经济体了。

Mo-Anything

It will remain a pipe dream unless instead of asking what should India do to to become a bigger economy let's say in next 25 years than just dreaming about it.

That would be the right question to ask . Else we will keep on raising this question even in year 2047

如果我们只是想想而已，不问印度应该做些什么才能在未来25年内成为一个更大的经济体，那么这就只能是个白日梦。

这才是我们应该关注的问题。否则等到2047年，我们还是会继续纠结这个问题。

I list out here some steps to move in the direction of $ 15 trillion economy size .

我在这里列出了一些可以帮助印度朝着15万亿美元经济规模的方向前进的做法。

1.Create a massive industrial base

2.Bring large scale changes in agricultural activities to raise productivity to 3 % from present 1.5 % and shift the surplus labour to manufacturing sector with due skill upgrade services.

3.Change our laws relating to brining in funds for development and growth . At present our laws are poorly designed . They keep changing quickly and there's no stability in Taxation policies.

1.建立大型工业基地

2.对农业生产进行彻底升级，将生产力从目前的1.5%提高到3%，并将剩余劳动力转移到制造业，提供相应的技能升级培训。

3.修订为发展和增长筹集资金的法律。目前印度的法律设计得很糟糕。它们一直在快速变化，税收政策缺乏稳定性。

4.Raise the standard of service which we offer .

5.Offer better and uptodate education from class 1 to PhD.

6.Orient our research to original thinking. And raise the standard of research guides and research students.

7.Throw out the policy of inviting foregin universities to set up campuses in India. It will be blocking our universities to improve .

4.提高我们的服务标准。

5.为所有学生提供更好和最新的教育。

6.我们的研究要追求原创思维。提高科研指导和科研学生的水平。

7.终止邀请外国大学在印度设立校园的政策，这会阻碍印度大学的进步。

8.Skill program at present is farce . Change it

9.B. Ed and ITI training institutes are a joke at present . Reform them .

10.Create conditions for creation of jobs at all levels to stop the PDS system which is a huge drain on our resources.

11.These are some emergent needs . Infusion of capital is essential. We must attract foregin investment funds in tons .

8.目前的技能计划是一场闹剧，必须调整。

9.ITI培训学校就是一个笑话，必须改革。

10.创造条件，为各个阶层创造就业机会，叫停对我们的资源造成巨大消耗的公共配给系统。

11.这些都是急需解决的问题，不可避免地需要注入资本，我们必须大量吸引外资。

Pradip Gangopadhyay

India will not become the world’s largest economy in the next few decades. Read the Goldman Sachs forecast.

印度不会在几十年内成为世界上最大的经济体。请阅读高盛的预测。

Remember this is only a forecast. It would depend on Indian politicians for this to happen.

记住，这只是一个预测。最终还要取决于印度政客。

Inside Indian politics

For that we have to get rid of, or, banish a few suicidal kattar enemies of this country like the leftist, pfi, zihadies & congress with the corrupt opposition leaders. These miniscule number of gaddars, always try to destroy and damage the Indian Economy.They get foreign funding by crime money of these enemies of this country, e.g. George Soros.

为了这个目标，我们必须把印度的致命敌人，比如左派、民族民*阵线、国大党以及腐败的反对派领导人除掉或驱逐出境。这些人总是试图摧毁和损害印度经济。他们通过这个国家的敌人，例如乔治·索罗斯的犯罪资金来赚取外国的资金。

Mo-Anything

It is just a pipe dream! Congressi thugs looted India for a long time, and now it is RSS-BJP Neo-Nazi Hindoo Fascists’ turn.

So long as Delhi Durbar is ruled by the Hindi speaking part of India, there is no chance of any progress in any sphere.

这就纯属白日梦！国大党暴徒长期洗劫印度，现在轮到人民党新纳粹印度法西斯了。

只要德里杜巴由印度的印地语地区统治，那么印度在任何领域都不会有任何进步的机会。

Mo-Anything

Depending on your politicians it’s a pipe dream

bjp and congress are fighting for power not the people

你们的政客决定了这就是一个白日梦

人民党和国大党争夺的是权力，而不是人民。

Taupe

It is directly related to nationalistic bjp. As long as they are the central government, our economy will keep performing and prospering.

这和人民党的民族主义有直接关系。只要他们主持中央政府，印度经济就会继续发展和繁荣。

Exstential Edge

Goldman sachs prediction by 2075:

Top three economies:

1.china.

2.india.

3.usa

高盛预测到2075年：

全球最大的三个经济体是：

1.中国。

2.印度。

3.美国。

Anil Majmudar

It's an election campaign and con scheme . People thing we are going to be well off as soon as the government implements it's programs. But only the top 3% and politicians will benifit . The lower 50 % of us live in hope and die in despair

这是竞选活动和骗局。民众认为，只要政府实施规划，我们就会发展得很好。但只有3%的最富裕群体和政客会从中受益。50%的人活在希望中，死在绝望中。

Awdhesh Singh

Related

What are the suggestions to improve India's economy?

It is not easy for any government to improve the economy of its country.

You require fiscal discipline, stronger corporate laws, effective enforcement of tax laws, professionalism and integrity in government functioning to create the proper environment for the economy to flourish.

However, the measures are like bitter pills which popular governments don’t want to administer to people, government officers and businesses.

你有什么改善印度经济的建议？

对任何政府来说，改善本国经济都不是易事。

你们需要财政纪律、严格的公司法、有效的税法执行、政府职能部门的专业精神和诚信，为经济繁荣创造适当的环境。

但这些措施就像受欢迎的政府并不想喂给民众、政府官员和企业的苦口良药。

Hence, Governments often prefer to manipulate(Photoshop) the GDP numbers to boost the economy rather than doing actually on the ground.

This is the easiest and best way to improve the condition of the economy of a country.

In this way, people are happy and Government is also happy.

However, in such photo shopped economies,

People often wonder why they are not getting jobs if economy is really booming.

Governments find it tough to explain why tax revenues and demands are not growing if economy is really booming.

因此，比起实际努力，政府往往更喜欢粉饰GDP数字来提振经济。

这是改善一个国家经济状况最简单也是最好的方法。

这样，民众开心，政府也高兴。

但在这样一个粉饰太平的经济体中，

人们会苦思不得其解，如果经济真的如此繁荣，为什么他们自己却找不到工作。

如果经济真的蓬勃发展，政府也很难解释为什么税收收入和需求并未出现增长。

Cyriac Kandathil

Related

Is India's $5 trillion economy a dream of the distant future?

This figure refers to GDP.

India’s GDP is growing at the rate of 4.5%. Its GDP value is $2.7 Trillion.

There is a thump rule to find out the number of years to double an investment. It is 72 divided by the rate of growth.

印度5万亿美元的经济规模是遥远的梦想吗？

这个数字是指国内生产总值。

印度的GDP正以4.5%的速度增长，现在GDP价值为2.7万亿美元。

有一个简单的公式可以计算出投资实现翻倍的年限，那就是用72除以增长率。

At 4.5% growth 72/4.5=16.

At this rate of growth it will take 16 years to reach a GDP of $5.4 Trillion.

If GDP grew at 6%, it will take 12 years to double it.

Those who claim that India will become a $5 Trillion economy by 2024 are living in a fool’s paradise or have no basic education or bluffing to cheat the public.

India will never reach $5 Trillion economy in the near future.

按照4.5%的增长率，得出72/4.5=16。

按照这样的增长速度，将需要16年GDP才能达到5.4万亿美元。

如果GDP以6%的速度增长，需要12年实现翻番。

那些声称印度能在2024年实现5万亿美元经济规模的人，要么是生活在傻瓜天堂，要么是没接受过基础教育，要么就是单纯在虚张声势欺骗公众。

印度短期内绝不可能达到5万亿美元的经济规模。

Sunita Sethling Limbu

Related

What kind of India do you dream?

A country where:

你梦想的印度是什么样的?

是这样一个国家：

Secularism is not just limited to the books, but is actually implemented by every individual. This is possible when religious extremists open their eyes and start to equally respect other religions.

No more communal clashes.

More connections being established between North Easters and Mainlanders be it emotional or in terms of external development.

世俗主义不仅局限于书本，更和每一个人的行为举止有关。如果宗教极端分子睁开眼睛，开始平等地尊重其他宗教就存在可能。

不再爆发公共冲突。

无论是在情感上还是在外部发展上，东北人和大陆人之间建立起更多的联系。

Every individual must have right to free education like in Finland.

Particular age shouldn't define when to complete education, to get settled, to get married etc.

Parents are equally happy and supportive when their children choose fields other than Engineering and Medical.

Society doesn't force you to prove your intelligence level just by getting a good rank in JEE.

每个印度人都像芬兰人一样享有免费教育的权利。

不用年龄来定义什么时候完成学业，什么时候安顿下来，什么时候结婚等等。

当孩子选择工程和医学以外的专业领域时，父母也能同样高兴和支持。

社会不会强迫你用联合入学考试中的好排名来证明自己的智力水平。

The government pays you enough for your job so that half of the talented people don't have to migrate to the US or Europe.

It becomes compulsory for every politician to have the certain level of education.

Corrupted leaders are eliminated and every budget provided by the government is used for the development and upliftment of the country.

政府为你的工作支付了足够的工资，一半的人才不必因此移民到美国或欧洲。

每个政治家都必须拥有一定的教育水平。

腐败的领导人尽早免职，政府提供的所有预算都真正用于国家的发展和提升。

When large dustbins are provided in every Schools, Colleges, Streets, Shops, Railways etc to achieve the dream of a clean nation.

Punishment for the rapist must be made so terrible that no other person would ever think of committing such crime.

No more female foeticide.

Indian producers coming up with really good content in movies instead of revolving with the same love story line with different actors.

每个学校、学院、街道、商店、铁路等都配备大型垃圾箱，实现清洁国家的梦想。

对强奸犯必须严厉惩罚，让其他人不敢以身试法。

终结女婴堕胎的社会问题。

印度制片人能在电影中想出了好内容，不要再用不同的演员循环表演雷同的爱情故事。

继续阅读：经济体   印度经济   印度GDP

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