“美国优先”可能还不够？重新思考特朗普2025年的中国战略

Why 'America First' might not be enough: Rethinking Trump’s China strategy for 2025 | DW News

“美国优先”可能还不够？重新思考特朗普2025年的中国战略

Donald Trump is promising an “America First” foreign policy, with tariffs on China and Europe, and pressure on allies everywhere to pull their weight. But could this backfire, particularly in his efforts to take on China? Experts say Trump might need to update his strategy to tackle dramatic threats like the rapid growth in China’s navy, and risks of launching trade wars against friends and rivals simultaneously.

唐纳德•特朗普承诺奉行“美国优先”的外交政策，对中国和欧洲征收关税，并向世界各地的盟友施压，要求他们尽自己的一份力。但这是否会适得其反，尤其是在他与中国较量的过程中？专家表示，特朗普可能需要更新他的战略，以应对巨大的威胁，比如中国海军的快速发展，以及同时对朋友和竞争对手发动贸易战的风险。

以下是外国网友的评论：

FamilyBrown88

The EU must rid themselves of their US dependency.

欧盟必须摆脱对美国的依赖。

brett_flower

Leading a nation while thinking tariffs hurt the other guy is like setting your own house on fire and expecting the smoke to choke your neighbour.

以为加关税能伤害别人，就像放火烧了自己的房子，然后期望烟雾能呛死邻居一样。

Madasafish2

It begs the question. What does America make except military armaments.

引出了一个问题，除了军事装备，美国还制造什么？

PBandJJJJJ

When Trump started a trade war with the EU, the EU raised tariffs on Harley Davidson motorcycles, produced in the US. Harley Davidson promptly moved production of their best selling motorcycles in the EU to Thailand. This caused Trump to throw a fit on Twitter, telling Harley Davidson, they would be:„taxed like never before“. Why would anyone think it will be any different this time around?

当特朗普发起与欧盟的贸易战时，欧盟提高了对美国生产的哈雷戴维森摩托车的关税。哈雷戴维森迅速将其在欧盟最畅销摩托车的生产转移到了泰国。这让特朗普在推特上大发雷霆，他喊话哈雷戴维森，他们将被“史无前例地征税”。为什么会有人认为这次会有所不同呢？

thomasrogers9146

I AM AN AMERICAN BUSINESS MAN WHO HAVE TRAVELLED GLOBALLY AND BEEN TO CHINA. THE U.S HAS 400 MILITARY BASES ENCIRCLING CHINA, PLACED MISSILES IN THE PHILIPES POINTING AT CHINA.HOLDING MILITARY DRILLS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, OPENLY VIOLATING CHINESE TERRITORIAL SOVEREIGNTY MEDDLING IN TAIWAN, WAGGING A TRADE WAR AGAINST CHINA, PLACED ITS MILITARY PERSONNEL ON THE KIRMAN ISLAND 4 MILES OFF THE COAST OF CHINA BUT CHINA IS AGGRESSIVE? REALLY. THIS IS THE SAME RUSSIAN PLAY BOOK.EXAMPANS NATO TO RUSSIA'S BORDERS USE UKRAINE TO PROVOKE A WAR AGAINST RUSSIA AND BLAME RUSSIA OF AGGRESSION.

我是一个美国商人，去过世界各地，也去过中国。美国有400个军事基地包围中国，在菲律宾部署导弹对准中国。在南海举行军事演习，公开侵犯中国领土主权，干涉台湾事务，对中国发动贸易战，在距离中国海岸4英里的克尔曼岛上部署军事人员，但他们说中国咄咄逼人？和俄罗斯剧本一样。北约在俄罗斯边境利用乌克兰挑起一场针对俄罗斯的战争，并指责俄罗斯侵略。

rudyalfonsus686

you know what funny? we can see some american think that tariff means lower inflation

搞笑的是一些美国人认为加关税意味着更低的通货膨胀

choisamwon2344

Other countries will definitely cut trades with US. US dollars will be less used.

其他国家肯定会削减与美国的贸易。美元的使用将会减少。

BangkokZed

The irony: Could you list how many military conflicts the extremely aggressive China was involved in in the past 50 years vs. the very peaceful US?

讽刺的是：你能列举出在过去的50年里，极其好斗的中国与非常和平的美国分别卷入了多少次军事冲突吗？

minimuu888

i think the EU needs to seriously consider resistance to trump style intimidation tactics, rather than sacrificing its own self interest out of fear of trump, its time the EU stood more independently rather than marching in lockstep with what the US commands

我认为欧盟需要认真考虑抵制特朗普式的恐吓策略，不要因为对特朗普的恐惧而牺牲自己的利益，是时候让欧盟更加独立，而不是听美国发号施令了

James_T_Quirk

I suspect as Drug Dealers do not pay Tax or obey Laws, Tariffs will not affect their business.

毒贩不纳税，不遵守法律，关税不会影响他们的生意…

syproful

This will end so badly. China is a nation which one trades with. Trade is the fabric of peace.

结局会很糟糕。中国和各个国家做贸易，贸易是和平的基石。

SeriousVybe

Mark my words this will be the downfall off the US

记住我的话，这将是美国衰落的开始

jideajibola5074

American citizens, you will be the ones paying for these tariffs. It’ll be expensive to import goods into the US. So unless you’re an exsting manufacturer, you’re going to suffer. Wake up!

美国公民们，你们将为这些关税买单。进口商品在美国将会很贵。因此，除非你是制造商，否则你将遭受损失。醒醒吧!

dannyboy8850

The top three importing countries to the U.S. in 2024 are Mexco, Canada and China. By way of imposing 25% tariff on imports from these countries, one can assure inflation is on the horizon.

到2024年，美国的前三大进口国是墨西哥、加拿大和中国。对从这些国家进口的商品征收25%的关税，通货膨胀即将到来。

artel6225

Hyperinflation coming to the USA soon

恶性通货膨胀即将降临美国

joexavier4070

Digging their own grave trump edition

特朗普版自掘坟墓

GGNH1234

"Trump looked at everything like the real estate developer he was before he entered politics” ... “For him, all countries were rivals in which the success of one meant the failure of another. He didn’t think that prosperity could be increased for all through cooperation.”

- Merkel's memoir. I think she has a point.

“在进入政界之前，特朗普看待一切都像房地产开发商一样”对他来说，所有国家都是竞争对手，一个国家的成功意味着另一个国家的失败。他不认为通过合作可以促进所有人的繁荣。”

——默克尔的回忆录。我觉得她说的有道理。

whizwart1

The main imports to the US from Canada and Mexco are oil and cars respectively.......its good that those are things average Americans never use.

美国从加拿大和墨西哥的主要进口分别是石油和汽车，好在这些都是普通美国人从不使用的东西。

bobloblaw7879

they also hurt domestic industries. With protection, they spend less on innovation and care less about productivity gains. As a result they loose the competitive edge and are no longer competitive with the rest of the world. Exports and .global market share fair poorly

也会损害国内产业。有了保护主义，他们在创新上的投入就会减少，对生产率提高的关心也会减少。结果，他们将失去竞争优势，无法再与其他国家竞争。出口和全球市场份额都将表现不佳

c.a.savage5689

America First = America Alone

美国优先=美国孤立

onlypatel8297

West is jealous of every other color

西方嫉妒其他国家

lovechineseforever9434

WEST IS SCARED OF CHINESE

西方害怕中国人

chrisbacon84

There really does need to be a serious effort to reduce dependence on the USA for trade and defense..

印度确实需要努力减少在贸易和国防方面对美国的依赖。

samuelanketell8190

Trump..... Make America broke again

特朗普将让美国再次破产

wongc.l6938

Tariffs is a no win -win situation for either party. It will lead to higher inflation for US . They still have to buy from elsewhere

关税对任何一方都不是双赢。会加剧通货膨胀，他们仍然需要从其他地方购买

jasonong3906

In south east Asia... We don't have a good impression on America

东南亚对美国的印象不好

snoreberry1786

It's simple, negotiate trade agreements or get fk'd. Brext should have taught everyone that by now.

很简单，要么谈判贸易协定，要么挨枪子。到目前为止，英国脱欧应该教会了所有人这一点。

nusaibahibraheem8183

China is aggressive with defending themselves and building their economy

中国在自卫和建设经济方面积极进取

arik2216

Canada delution said Russia and China were the main threat

加拿大表示，俄罗斯和中国是主要威胁

liang8255

Finally he admits: China’s industrial capacity is 30 times of US, China’s war capacity is 30 times of US today (in no nuclear), think about how many rockets/drones China can fire at US every day! At full capacity US can only intercept 5% of that

最后他将承认：中国的工业能力是美国的30倍，中国的战争能力是美国的30倍（不包括核武器），想想中国每天可以向美国发射多少枚火箭/无人机！满负荷运转时，美国只能拦截其中的5%

chukwumaoriuwa281

fools voted the con ... again. he escapes jail. he makes a killing again. all hail the new warlord.

傻瓜再次投票给了骗子…他免了牢狱之灾，又大赚了一笔。为新的军阀欢呼吧。

miditrax

Of course, he's "Trump First", always was, always will be

他是“特朗普第一”，过去是，将来也是

TienyeeTien

No country gets great by tariffing others…

没有哪个国家通过对他国征收关税而变得伟大起来的…