中国人口连续第三年减少，人口总量比上年减少139万人

China population shrinks for third year even with more babies born

中国人口连续第三年减少，尽管出生的婴儿更多

China’s population shrank for the third straight year in 2024, even though births rose slightly, underscoring a persistent long-term risk for the economy.

The total number of people in China fell by over 1.39 million to 1.408 billion last year, according to data released by the National Statistics Bureau on Friday.

Around 9.54 million babies were born, which is 520,000 more than the year before.

2024年，虽然出生率略有上升，中国人口仍然连续第三年萎缩，突显出经济持续面临的长期风险。

根据国家统计局周五公布的数据，去年中国人口总数下降了139多万，至14.08亿。

大约954万婴儿出生，比前一年多52万。

This bump might be partly due to the belief that the Year of the Dragon in the Chinese zodiac is lucky for having children. Even so, it was still the second-lowest number of births since the founding of the People’s Republic of China in 1949.

“Many couples who delayed childbearing during the three years of the Covid-19 pandemic chose to have babies in 2024 — that is the main cause of the uptick,” said He Yafu, an independent demographer. “But I estimate the number of newborns will drop in 2025.”

这种增长可能部分是由于人们认为中国十二生肖中的龙年是生孩子的幸运年，喜欢龙宝宝。即便如此，这仍然是自1949年新中国成立以来第二低的出生人数。

独立人口统计学家何亚夫表示：“在新冠疫情大流行的三年里，许多推迟生育的夫妇选择在2024年生孩子，这是生育率上升的主要原因。”

“但我估计2025年新生儿数量将下降。”

以下是外国网友的评论：

Anil Dharan

They are welcome to import useless, parasitic people from UP, Bihar and the like. No shortage of useless people here.

欢迎他们从北方邦、比哈尔邦等地引进无用的寄生虫。我们这里不乏无用之人。

Sanatani Clint

Up Biharis and other BIMARUS will make China into another waste land. The only thing these BIMARUS can do is 4ape and killing.

北方邦、比哈尔邦和其他邦的人，会把中国变成一片荒地的。这些人啥也不会，只会强奸和杀戮。

d2k

The living pressure are too high in China. Low salary, high house price, high goods prices, low social security and welfares; so people don't want to give birth any-more. Also, educational level has been raised in comparative to years ago. Higher educational people are more concerned with offspring's quality over quantity

中国人的生活压力太大了。工资低，房价高，物价高，社会保障不完善，福利差；所以人们不想再生孩子了。此外，与几年前相比，教育水平有所提高。高等教育者更关心后代的质量而不是数量

Thundercarver

And yet, they still aren’t importing the third world, curious!

然而，奇怪的是，他们仍然没有引进第三世界的人口！

Finally some good news

终于有好消息了

ow1950

“If having children doesn’t make my life better, what is the point having it?” If the government can’t answer this pressing question, I think it would be better off for youth to have no children.

“如果生孩子不能让我的生活变得更好，那么生来有什么意义呢？”

如果政府不能回答这个紧迫的问题，我认为年轻人最好不要生孩子。

koml

It's the same reason why people are not having children in America and Europe. Most people who are at the age to have children are not being paid enough to cover the costs of doing a decent job of raising children. They are also overworked and exhausted and lack the time and energy needed to meet someone and have children.

In America and China there are also weak protections for families such as insufficient maternity and paternity leave. Babies need a lot of attention and employers don't want employees to be distracted from working for the company's profits by things like children.

美国人和欧洲人也不想生孩子。大多数到了生育年龄的人，都没有得到足够的收入，让其可以体面抚养孩子。他们也工作压力大，疲惫不堪，缺乏与人恋爱和生孩子所需的时间和精力。

在美国和中国，对家庭的保护也很薄弱，比如产假和陪产假不足。婴儿需要很多关注，雇主不希望员工因为孩子而分心，否则无法为公司创造利润

tashiG

There is a growing trend online in China, that young people say "We don't want our future generation also becoming cheap labor and breeding stock."

在中国，网络上这样的趋势越来越明显，年轻人说“我们不希望我们的下一代也当牛马。”

iiiim

As a Chinese living in America, I asked some of my Chinese friends living in both China and abroad about their views on the population issue. Most of them don’t even care and a few of them even feel relieved because they’re tired of overcrowded cities in China

作为一名居住在美国的中国人，我询问了一些居住在中国和国外的中国朋友对人口问题的看法。他们中的大多数人表示不在乎，其中一些人感到宽慰，因为他们已经厌倦了中国过度拥挤的城市

chaoscow

Fun Fact I have from the fun fact guy: Even if you subtract 1 billion people from China and India each they still would be the largest and second largest countries by population size.

有意思，即使中国和印度分别减去10亿人口，他们仍然是世界人口规模最大和第二大的国家。

man69420
their land is very fertile so they can bear those populations, meanwhile middle eastern and African countries have very little arable land with no water, low literacy rates with no women rights still their population growth rate is unsustainable

他们的土地非常肥沃，可以养活大量人口，而中东和非洲国家几乎没有可耕地，没有水，识字率低，妇女没有权利，但他们的人口增长率仍然是不可持续的

ullivan6105
China and India have always been the two main population centers throughout history, often around 25% of the world population each.

纵观历史，中国和印度一直是两个主要的人口大国，通常各占世界人口的25%左右。

CUsmile86

Having children is financially stressful. Most of us are struggling, why do we want to struggle harder by having kids?

生孩子会承受很大的经济压力。我们大多数人艰难度日，为什么我们要生孩子，让自己更难度日呢？

oopsy

I live in America, and I remember growing up being told that there's too many people in the world, so I decided I wouldn't have any children. I wonder how many other people thought the same thing and came to the same conclusion...

我住在美国，记得从小就听人说这个世界上人太多了，所以我决定不生孩子。我想知道有多少人也这么想

mithcollins

As a Korean this is pretty relatively optimistic.

We never had met the fertility rate expectations and the forecasts had been always wrong in a recent decade.

Now we are drop about 0.1 per every year(!) and might s 0.6x on 2023. Can't wait to see the apocalypse

作为一个韩国人，我觉得这还是相当乐观的。

我们的生育率从未达到预期，近十年来的预测总是错误的。

现在我们的生育率每年下降约0.1%，2023年下降0.6%。迫不及待地想看到世界末日

safi

I think it will be good for China if population shrinks to say 700million people. Then the quality of life will rise dramaticly and China will set global standard for whole world. I cheering for China! Ni Hao my Chinese Friends

我认为，如果人口减少到7亿，对中国来说是件好事。届时，民众的生活质量会大幅提高，中国将为全世界树立全球标准。我为中国加油！你好，我的中国朋友

arbinks6018

China has to make the transition towards a consumption based economy as its demographics do not lend itself to sustainably supporting a export driven manufacturing economy

It’s likely that in the short term countries like India may see more labor intensive manufacturing jobs but not because India will continue to grow but because it’s rate of population decrease will not be as rapid as chinas so there is a time limit to manufacturing in India as well.

中国必须向消费型经济转型，他们的人口结构，长期靠出口驱动型经济是不可持续的

短期内，印度等国家可能会出现更多劳动密集型的制造业岗位，但这并不是因为印度将继续增长，而是因为它的人口减少速度不会像中国那样快，所以留给印度的制造业的时间不多了

dillon

By 2100, US population is projected to be 450 million.

China's population is projected to be about 700 million.

China will be less than 2 times the size of US.

Quite a drop from the 5 times the US that it was.

到2100年，美国人口预计将达到4.5亿。

到时候这个的人口预计约为7亿。

中国的人口将不到美国的2倍。

现在是美国人口的5倍，下降了不少。