US vs. China: Will War Break Out Before 2030? w/ KJ Noh

美国与中国：2030年前会爆发战争吗？

The Trump Admin is returning to the White House next week with threats of tariffs and warnings of a full scale war with China before 2030. But with Beiing announcing a $1 Trillion trade surplus (the exact opposite of Washington’s nearly $1 Trillion trade deficit), it raises question of whether the U.S. is once again underestimating the power of its opponent.

特朗普政府下周重返白宫，威胁要征收关税，并警告称，2030年前或与中国爆发全面战争。但随着中国宣布1万亿美元的贸易顺差（华盛顿的贸易逆差也刚好近1万亿美元），这引发了一个问题，即美国是否再次低估了对手的实力。

KJ Noh, a geopolitical analyst and Co-Host of ‘The China Report’ on Breakthrough News, noted that preparations for war with China have been underway in Washington since the Obama Administration and its ‘Pivot to Asia’, and with the U.S. obsession with Taiwan, we could be in for World War 3 in the coming years.

地缘政治分析师KJ Noh指出，自奥巴马政府“转向亚洲”以来，华盛顿一直在为与中国的战争做准备，而随着台海局势紧张，我们可能会在未来几年卷入第三次世界大战。

以下是外国网友的评论：

EduardoArtistaDelavega

China has the greatest manufacturing capacity. US has the greatest national debt.

中国拥有最强大的制造能力。美国欠的国债最多。

Hystericall

China's surplus is mostly with the rest of world, not with US. China seem to have given up on US trade and looking to S. America, S.E. Asia, and Africa for substitute markets.

中国的贸易顺差主要来自世界其他国家，不是美国贡献的。中国似乎已经放弃了与美国的贸易，转而开拓南美、东南亚和非洲的市场。

kenbehrens5778

Sorry hysterical, US China trade in 2024 was still high, and for the Chinese still in surplus. They sold you $US401 billion, and bought $US 131 Billion. So they haven't given up on trade.

抱歉，2024年中美贸易仍然很高，中国仍然是顺差。他们卖给你4010亿美元，买了1310亿美元。所以他们没有放弃贸易。

pekkarousu3616

Wrong. About 1/3 of China's trade surplus is with China. The total trade surplus grows every year and also with USA.

错了。中国约三分之一的贸易顺差来自中国。中国贸易顺差总额每年都在增长，与美国的贸易顺差也在增长。

beproudasian8279

Right, China's trade with the U$ regime has been decreasing steadily. It's down 17% from 2022 to 2023.

是的，中国与美国的贸易一直在稳步下降。从2022年到2023年，中美贸易额下降了17%。

roychain4877

@Hystericall it's wonderful if China surpass the U S u don't like that all countries must prosper u are not king of the world B R I C S is the way 2 go for a multipolar World the U S cannot dictate 2 the world love all nations cultures n languages South Africa U

如果中国超越美国，那就太好了。你们不喜欢看到这样。各国都有权利繁荣，你们不是世界之王。金砖国家追求多级世界。不能让美国对全世界发号施令。热爱所有国家的文化和语言，来自南非的爱

tclim5507

It is even more alarming if the trade surplus is not with US…can you imagine what it would be like if the China/US trade is back to normal ?

如果中美之间没有贸易顺差，那就更令人担忧了！

你能想象如果中美贸易恢复正常会是什么样子吗？

yeska62

I had no problem being a TikTok refugee. I already was talking to my Chinese friends on WeChat, and now I have another great Chinese app. The community is wonderful and I am having a blast.

作为TikTok难民，我没有任何意见。我已经在微信上和我的中国朋友聊天了，现在我又玩了一个很棒的中国应用程序。这个社区很棒，我玩得很开心

kenbehrens5778

Why the US has tensions with China is clear to see. Due to China's growing global influence the US feels that it's 'exceptionalism' is not as widely regarded as it once was. Professor Li Haidong at China's Foreign Affairs University put it "They cannot accept a develo country with a political system, ideology, and skin color different from the West being able to play a role and occupy a corresponding position in international affairs comparable to the West,"

美国与中国关系紧张，原因显而易见。由于中国日益增长的全球影响力，美国认为它的“例外主义”不像以前那样被广泛认同。中国外交大学李海东教授说：“他们不能接受一个政治制度、意识形态和肤色与西方不同的发展中国家能够在国际事务中发挥作用，占据与西方相当的地位。”

leoh6596

One important point to remember is Chinese civilization is thousands of years old!!!!

要记住的一点是，中华文明有数千年的历史

hyhhy

Very interesting and also chilling insights!

非常有趣，令人不寒而栗

AIPretendingToBeHuman

US Navy couldn’t suppress the Houthis - what chance do they have against PLAN ?

美国海军连胡塞武装都压制不住——他们有什么机会对抗中国海军？

commonsense6489

I’m so sick of the U.S. AND EUROPE (AngloAmericanAxs). No one should join the U.S. MILITARY.

我讨厌美国和欧洲（英美轴心）。任何人都不应该加入美国军队。

vangpham2514

Rachel you need to go to China and see it for yourself

你应该去中国亲眼看看

spamfilter32

Regarding people claiming that there are N. Korean soldiers fighting in Ukraine because they have seen a photo of a soldier with asiatic facial features, Many of thebpeople who live in Siberia are of asiatic descent. One of Russia's top generals who has been in many media appearances has asiatic facial features, so this does not show anything because one would expect sone % of the soldiers in the Russian army to "look asian."

Russia is a multi-ethnic nation

有人声称有朝鲜士兵在乌克兰作战，说他们看到了一张亚洲人面部特征的士兵的照片，许多居住在西伯利亚的人都是亚洲人后裔啊。

一位在媒体上露面的俄罗斯高级将领也有亚洲人的面部特征，所以这并不能说明说明，俄罗斯军队中有1%的士兵“看起来像亚洲人”

俄罗斯是一个多民族国家

EduardoArtistaDelavega

Instead of arming Taiwan, Ukraine and Israel; US tax payer money should be spent on infrastructure, healthcare, education, homelessness etc.

Instead of pursuing delusions of grandeur, the US should seek mutually beneficial cooperation with the rest the world.

与其武装台湾、乌克兰和以色列；美国纳税人的钱应该用来修建基础设施，为民众提供医疗保健、教育，救助无家可归的流浪汉等方面。

美国不应追求宏伟的幻想，而应与世界其他国家进行互利合作。

BartholomewShirima

How can Us fight so many wars...?...its not possible man.

美国怎么能打这么多战争？这是不可能做到的

concerned_2023

Absolute greed for wealth and insatiable power.

美国对财富和权力的贪婪永无止境

peanut0brain

Grandma yellen says "we can fight 3 wars"

耶伦奶奶说“我们可以同时打三场战争”

Liveforfood9394
It's time for the world to interact and learn from each others instead of pointing fingers. Life is too short. We need to learn to love each other.

现在是世界相互交流和学习的时候了，不应该相互指责。人生苦短啊。我们需要学会彼此相爱。

GeorgeTravancoor22

It seems that Zelensky abducted North Koreans living in Russia , and shows them as Soldiers fighting for Russia.

Why is Zelensky still alive ?

泽连斯基似乎绑架了居住在俄罗斯的朝鲜人，然后说他们是为俄罗斯而战的士兵。

泽连斯基为什么还活着？

hasx7062

LMFAO, BY 2030, both China and Russia will be twice as powerful as the US and their lapdogs

哈哈哈，到2030年，中国和俄罗斯的实力，将是美国及其哈巴狗的两倍

pekkarousu3616

Depends on how "powerful" is defined and measured. GDP PPP is maybe the best measure.

2024
USA 27 trn and EU 27 trn = 54 trn. China 36 trn and Russia 6 trn = 42 trn.

What will GDP PPP be in 2030 for those four? My guess is that the two "blocks" will be equally big in 2030.

这取决于如何定义“强大”。购买力平价衡量的GDP，可能是最好的衡量标准。

2024年，美国GDP为27万亿美元，欧盟GDP为27万亿美元，加起来是54万亿美元。中国36万亿，俄罗斯6万亿=42万亿。

2030年，这四个国家的GDP购买力平价分别会是多少？我的猜测是，到2030年，双方会旗鼓相当

leoxng7697

MAY GOD AND BUDDHA PROTECT CHINA.

愿上帝和佛陀保佑中国。

FatherFractal

Different parts of the world evolve differently, magpies in Australia look different to the European magpie

世界不同地区的进化方式不同，澳大利亚的喜鹊与欧洲喜鹊看起来不同

BartholomewShirima
...forcing TikTok just coz its succesful in Us..???!!! ....to sell to Us corporations??? What a funny.???!!!!.Us is so afraid of Chinas leapfrog...

TikTok在美国获得成功，就要逼他们卖给美国企业？真搞笑！美国太害怕中国了

Tin-j6k
Excuse the very poor Chinese. Much love from Spain, Hasta la Victoria Siempre x

请原谅那些可怜的中国人。来自西班牙的爱，

asdfasdffdcd

70% Chinese Millennial own homes? Are you sure?

中国70%的千禧一代拥有自己的房子？你确定吗？

taojiang8423
Their parents helped them pay the down payment. Most people lived in city brought their second or third house with their kids’s name to avoid future estate taxes.

父母帮忙付了首付款。大多数住在城市里的人用孩子的名字买了第二或第三套房子，避开未来的遗产税。

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