India's Defence Budget is enough to Handle Pakistan and China ?| By Prashant Dhawan

Prashant Dhawan：印度的国防预算，是否足以应对巴基斯坦和中国

Prashant Dhawan Sir analyzes whether India's defense budget is sufficient to counter threats from Pakistan and China.

先生分析印度的国防预算是否足以应对来自巴基斯坦和中国的威胁。

2024年各国军事开支问题，美国的8860亿美元预算令人望而生畏。印度的726亿军费似乎显得相形见绌。2024年，中国的国防预算达到1.66万亿元人民币，约合2300亿美元（按当前汇率计算），增幅保持在个位数，显著低于美国和印度的增长幅度。

总体而言，中国军事预算增长的特征可以归纳为三个方面：

首先，增长率维持在一个相对稳定的范围，与经济发展的状况相契合；其次，军事开支在GDP中的比例长期保持较低水平，大大低于美国和印度；最后，坚持以防御为主的国防政策。

以下是印度网友的评论：

kamalkhokhar2404
Freebies buy applause today; labs, universities, and factories build standing ovations for decades.

如今，靠免费福利只能换来一时掌声；而实验室、大学和工厂的发展，才能赢得数十年的长久赞誉。

IamSuperman154
China has 450 billion def budget and India 80 billion.
But remember there is Himalayas and Indian Ocean between India and China and China cannot employ their whole hardware against India due to this reason. They also need to guard South China Sea, most of their hardware is there, and Himalaya is there to obtstruct China from deploying rest of their hardware. So India is not in Hopeless situation but at disadvantage. India needs airpower, more indigenous air-defence, needs mechanized infantry.
Having mechanized infantry is a huge boost and it can run over Bangladesh easily, contrary to today's situation.

中国的国防预算是4500亿美元，而印度是800亿美元。

但要记住，印度和中国之间有喜马拉雅山脉和印度洋相隔，基于此，中国无法将其全部军事装备用于对抗印度。他们还需要守卫南海，大部分军事装备都部署在那个方向，而且喜马拉雅山脉阻碍了中国部署其余装备。所以印度并非毫无希望，只是处于劣势。印度需要空中力量、更多国产防空系统，还需要机械化步兵。

拥有机械化步兵将极大地提升战力，而且能轻易压制孟加拉国，这与当下的情况截然不同。

hunterskick5738
​​india cannot even solve a small problem like Manipur, Mizoram, Kashmir and here you are talking about China... How foolish?

印度连曼尼普尔邦、米佐拉姆邦、克什米尔这样的小问题都解决不了，你却在这儿谈论中国。 多愚蠢啊？

strawhat9319
what airpower does india have today...36 rafale...not upgraded Sukhoi...no awacs... refuellers?

如今印度有什么空中力量，36架阵风战机，未经升级的苏霍伊战机，没有预警机，加油机也没有？

paristime1958
Smaller powers can't become "prepared" actually. India always been a Far smaller power in front of China.

实际上，较小的国家难以做到 “有备无患”。与中国相比，印度一直是个弱小得多的国家。

mexcanmomo
I see few possible ways.
1. India imports huge amount of crude. Reduce it by various means. Go for ethanol. Stop exports of cheap rice, make ethanol out of it.
2. Go for defense exports and exports of high ticket items like Electronics and Automobile.
3. In education budget, stop funding religious boards
4. MNREGA is unproductive. Bring those people to factories by imparting them vocational trainings.

我想到几种可行的办法。

1. 印度大量进口原油。通过各种方式减少进口量，转而使用乙醇。停止廉价大米出口，用大米生产乙醇。

2. 推动国防装备出口，以及电子产品和汽车等高价值产品的出口。

3. 在教育预算方面，停止对宗教机构的资助。

4. 印度农村就业保障计划（MNREGA）成效不佳。通过提供职业培训，把那些人引入工厂。

spiderno42
As in Indian We should make some kind of Portal to fund our military not for salary but to buy new equipment and upgrade I think that the only way to go

作为印度人，我们应该建立某种平台为军队筹集资金，这些资金不是用于发工资，而是购买新装备和进行升级，我认为这是唯一的途径。

paristime1958
Even if it's 100 billion it still can't beat Mighty China, which has alone over 400+ billion unofficially

即便国防预算达到1000亿美元，也还是无法战胜强大的中国，中国仅非官方估计就超过4000亿美元。

TifoDas-vn7ml
China's budget is around 300 billion

中国的国防预算约为3000亿美元。

paristime1958
That's official, the unofficial estimate says it's around 500 billion USD

那是官方数据，非官方估计约为5000亿美元。

sngemar2664
We can beat in geographicali Himalayas will help us

在地理上我们能占优势，喜马拉雅山脉会帮到我们。

sidhesh15
People are discussing the large sums allocated to Bihar, which will likely be spent on building roads and bridges that may not even last a year. However, why is no one talking about the ₹120 crore and ₹600 crore being given to Bangladesh and the Maldives? We are giving ₹720 crore to these nations, which might use the funds for activities against India.

人们在讨论拨给比哈尔邦的大笔资金，这些钱可能会花在修建可能连一年都撑不到的道路和桥梁上。然而，为什么没人提及援助孟加拉国和马尔代夫的12亿卢比和60亿卢比呢？我们送这两个国家72亿卢比，而他们可能会用这些资金从事反对印活动。

subhakantrout8346
The reason is to keep them fed mouthful so that they will think before they raise their fingers against us the next time, similar to USAID programme.

原因是要让他们吃饱饭，这样下次他们想对我们指指点点时就会三思，类似于美国国际开发署（USAID）的项目。

aarushbhatnagar4860
India should spend at least 2% of its GDP on Defence, and allocate minimum 15% to DRDO. Even a modest increase to $85-$90 is decent as of now…. But shall increase with year…Lets hope

印度至少应将其GDP的2%用于国防，并给国防研究与发展组织（DRDO）分配至少15%的资金。即便现在适度增加到850 - 900亿美元也还不错，但应逐年增加。希望如此。

Am-Legend-0
Actually is 2.5 front war we also have enemies in our home

实际上，我们得同时面临2.5条前线的战争，国内也有敌人，算半条战线。

KamranAhmedkhaan
If you're a good human being, you will have zero enemies. Think about it. No enemies = No need for army.
No army = $ 100 billion dollars....better spent on education, healthcare and climate change

如果你是个好人，就不会有敌人。好好想想吧。没有敌人，就不需要军队。

不需要军队，就可以省下1000亿美元的资金。这些钱花在教育、医疗和应对气候变化上会更好。

MAMUS777-q2c
@KamranAhmedkhaan bro no philosophy works in today's era of geopolitics come to reality. Bro frm Cong government we were always trying to be friendly with them they started all the w"rs and destabilized our states. Is it fair?

兄弟，在当今地缘政治时代，这种理念行不通，面对现实吧。兄弟，国大党执政时，我们一直试图与他们友好相处，但他们发动了所有战争，还破坏我们各邦的稳定。这公平吗？

Harsh-gt9kh
Government need to focus on gdp growth rate.
It is 5.5% (very low).
Gdp growth rate should be 8%--10%.
Then we can definitely competed with china within 10 years.
And defence budget will automatically increase

政府需要提高GDP增长率。

现在是5.5%，这个增速非常低。

GDP增长率应该达到8% - 10%。

这样我们肯定能在10年内与中国竞争。

而且国防预算会自动增加。

vaibhavsanatani661
true bro china was also develo 9-10% in their time but their currency was improving against dollar so in dollar terms it became 12-13% while ours is 6-7% bcz rupee is falling

说得对，兄弟，中国在发展时期增长率也有9 - 10%，但他们的货币对美元升值，所以按美元计算增长率达到12 - 13%，而我们只有6 - 7%，因为卢比在贬值。

ajaybidlan_6749
Sir MGNREGA has been allotted 86 000 crore this time
This money can be cut short of time to time as it would be unsustainable in the longer run
We should be focused rather on giving skills with proper implementation

先生，这次给印度农村就业保障计划（MGNREGA）拨款8600亿卢比。

这笔钱可以时不时削减，因为从长远来看，这是不可持续的。

我们应该更专注于传授技能。

carver4136
Government must stop some Non-necessory Freeibes to improve defense budget allocation.

印度政府必须叫停一些不必要的福利，以增加国防预算拨款。

Deepanshu_0001
According to me we also need to focus on following points.

Corruption control, Decentralisation, Liberalisation, Inter - state coordination, State to State coordination, Forces coordination ex- All armed forces - paramilitary forces - state police CAPF, Bottom to top approach, Bureaucratic management, Strong diplomacy in North-East, Good Education.

在我看来，我们还需要关注以下几点。

控制腐败、权力下放、自由化、邦际协调、邦与邦之间的协调、各部队之间的协调，例如所有武装部队 - 准军事部队 - 邦警察中央武装警察部队，自下而上的方法、官僚管理、在东北地区实施强有力的外交政策、良好的教育。

afterrburnerr
the irony is that last year mod could'nt even use full alocated budget (1300 crore unused). the problem is in the acquisition process and the bureaucracy. more funds should be alocated to drdo and other RnD.

具有讽刺意味的是，去年莫迪甚至都没能用完全部拨款（有130亿卢比未使用）。问题出在采购流程和官僚作风上。应该给国防研究与发展组织（DRDO）及其他研发项目拨更多资金。

anilv3724
This comment needs to be pinned. I think it is 18000 Crore.... Also, we need a new defence minister.

这条评论应该置顶。我想那笔未使用的资金是1800亿卢比，而且，我们需要一位新的国防部长。

rohanjaiswal7420
Atleast 200.billion usd is needed to handle China as of now

就目前而言，至少需要2000亿美元才能应对中国。

GamerzGamazm-bo2uw
The government should give us an account number and We The people of Indian will donate extra money every year for our defence budget

政府应该给我们一个账号，这样我们印度民众每年就可以为国防预算额外捐款。

Search_Exmuslim_zafar_heritic
Freebies should be Ban if you want Bharat great again

如果你想让印度再次强大，就应该禁止免费福利。

Rinkesh28
India needs at least 2.5% of gdp as the defence budget means if our economy is about 4 trillion dollars then current economies 2.5% is 100 billion dollars

印度至少需要将GDP的2.5%作为国防预算，也就是说，如果我们的经济规模约为4万亿美元，那么当前经济规模的2.5%就是1000亿美元。

satendradwivedi9765
India should asked for F35B varient and additional engine M88 or F404 for Twin engine Tejas

印度应该申请F35B型号战机，并为双引擎光辉战机（Tejas）配备额外的M88或F404发动机。

hitzzmsdian07
we need to stop freebies and pensions subsidies… seriously we are spending almost 10-15% on this of budget…..
we need to government focus on foreign investment and against unconditional support to make in india…

我们需要停止免费福利和养老金补贴。 说真的，我们几乎把预算的10 - 15%花在这上面了

我们需要政府关注外国投资，并反对无条件支持 “印度制造”。

MAMUS777-q2c
Bro we cannot people are living on pensions and subsidy! And freebies could be stopped

兄弟，我们不能这么做，人们靠养老金和补贴生活呢！不过免费福利倒是可以停掉。

HeavenRacer422
If you won't give them money. They won't spend. Less spending will hurt the GDP. That money remains in Indian economy. Problem lies with importing. India should give more money to DRDO and likely orgs. Importing defense equipment should be reduced.

如果你不给他们钱，他们就不会消费。消费减少会影响GDP。那些钱还是留在印度经济体系内。问题在于进口。印度应该给国防研究与发展组织（DRDO）及类似机构更多资金。应该减少国防装备的进口。

arunoday153
Government should start a small donation part in the payslips directly. So whoever is interested can pay (for eg- 100rs) to defense budget directly. It should be optional. Even a small portion from such huge population can make a difference.

政府应该直接在工资单上设置一个小额捐赠部分。这样，任何有意愿的人都可以直接为国防预算捐款（比如100卢比）。这应该是自愿的。即便从如此庞大的人口中收取一小部分，也会有所不同。

AbhaiSaha
India's economy and defense budget would all be much better if two things could be stopped: freebies and caste-based reservations in important areas....

如果能停止两件事，印度的经济和国防预算都会好得多：免费福利和重要领域基于种姓的预留制度……

ProchetoDasGupta
Cancel all freebies and unnecessary spendings. Freebies itself would save a lot of money. Supreme Court definitely needs to cancel freebies. Plus we also need to be realistic. China's GDP is 5 times than ours and they enjoy a massive trade surplus. We on the other hand might become the 3rd largest economy soon but we still got a trade deficit and multiple other issues which needs to be addressed. Also, China is a one party state which makes things much easier for them to implement things much smoothly.

取消所有免费福利和不必要的开支。仅取消免费福利就能节省大量资金。最高法院绝对应该取消免费福利。另外，我们也得务实些。中国的GDP是我们的5倍，而且他们有巨额贸易顺差。而我们虽可能很快成为第三大经济体，但仍有贸易逆差以及其他诸多需要解决的问题。此外，中国是一党制国家，这使得他们实施政策更加顺畅。

kshitizchauhan0901
Youth should stand up together and oppose every idea scheme politicians and political parties providing freebies and playing with indian future

年轻人应该团结起来，反对政客和政党提供免费福利、玩弄印度未来的每一个想法和计划。

अज्ञेय-र3ब
Now i can understand why government pushes defence exports aggressively and also why government would jave implemented agniveer policy. Seems like government wants to reduce revenue expenditure and increase capital expenditure. It was an eye opening video. Thanks sir.

现在我明白为什么政府大力推动国防装备出口，也明白为什么政府实施 “烈火卫士” 政策了。似乎政府想减少经常性支出，增加资本性支出。这个视频让人大开眼界。谢谢先生。

psychdoc4u
I think we should divert the aid to Bangladesh to defence budget because it became a threat from friend

我认为我们应该把给孟加拉国的援助转用于国防预算，因为它从朋友变成了威胁。

abhishekchoudhary1393
Instead of giving pension to retire jawan they should directly commission in police it will benefited for both society and government

与其给退役士兵发养老金，不如直接让他们加入警察队伍，这对社会和政府都有好处。

SK_BUDHWAR
I think government should increase the tax of billionaires because they have extra money with them, and influencers should request people of India to pay tax after that only I think we can get what we need whether R&D, ISRO, HAL, BARC, etc

我认为政府应该提高亿万富翁的税收，因为他们有闲钱，而且有影响力的人应该呼吁印度民众纳税，只有这样，我觉得我们才能获得研发、印度空间研究组织（ISRO）、印度斯坦航空有限公司（HAL）、巴巴原子研究中心（BARC）等所需的资金。

MAMUS777-q2c
More billionaire will reach Dubai and Singapore bro do you actually think many billionaires not everyone but most of them give a sh*t about country?

兄弟，更多亿万富翁会跑去迪拜和新加坡，你真觉得很多亿万富翁——不是所有人，但大多数——会在乎国家吗？

MitchellSantner1
Then they will flee away to London, UAE and Switzerland.

那样的话，他们会逃往伦敦、阿联酋和瑞士。

lohith_sai
Defence capex budget is Rs. 1.92 lakh crore which is just $22.17billion!

国防资本支出预算是1.92万亿卢比，仅相当于221.7亿美元！

sanjaybgoel
Take measures to reduce corruption, make anti-corruption law more stringent, improve education system and social awareness, it will double our revenues

采取措施减少腐败，让反腐败法律更严格，改善教育系统和社会意识，这样我们的收入会翻倍。

girirajrathore8067
Our GDP is growing at 5.5% and you have to increase the defense budget to 100 billion

我们的GDP增长率是5.5%，你得把国防预算增加到1000亿美元。

saishantanubandewar00005
These political parties will never back down from giving freebies. Some higher power like Supreme court should intervene and order all governments to stop the freebies (ofcourse few subsidies and freebies for elderly people should be allowed).

这些政党永远不会放弃提供免费福利。像最高法院这样的更高权力机构应该介入，命令所有政府停止提供免费福利（当然，应该允许给老年人一些补贴和福利）。

AnandBhadouriya3
I think what we need is to allocate 2.5% of our gdp to the defense and try to reach 6 or 7 trillion by 2030 if can do that our defense budget will be 150 to 175 billion by 2030. And also 2.5% is not a very high number a lot of countries have their defense budget around that so I think we can also manage it.

我认为我们需要将国内生产总值（GDP）的2.5%用于国防开支，并争取到2030年使GDP达到6至7万亿美元。如果能做到这一点，到2030年我们的国防预算将达到1500至1750亿美元。而且2.5%并不是一个很高的比例，很多国家的国防预算都在这个水平左右，所以我觉得我们也能做到。

prabhakardas4261
The govt can make initiative schemes if any co operate company can can contribute to defense budget,... Also all the minister, who get free salary, free electricity etc., can contribute 10 percent his salary to the defense.... Also all the salaried employees who get tax benefit below 12 lakh, can contribute 5 percent of his salary to the defense as well as ISRO... 1.5 crore population, if you can contribute little amount, we will sure cross reach our target

政府可以推出一些倡议计划，让任何一家合作公司都能为国防预算做出贡献……此外，所有享受免费工资、免费用电等福利的部长们，可以将其工资的10%贡献给国防事业……还有，所有年收入在120万卢比以下且享受税收优惠的受薪雇员，可以将其工资的5%捐给国防事业和印度空间研究组织（ISRO）……如果1500万人口都能贡献一点，我们肯定能实现目标。

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